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US Fiscal Year 2027 Begins on a Stopgap
United States Department of the Treasury, Washington, D.C., United StatesUnited States Department of the Treasury
SCHEDULED84% CONFIDENCEin 8 daysThe US federal fiscal year runs 1 October to 30 September, so fiscal year 2027 begins on 1 October 2026 and ends on 30 September 2027.[1]PolymarketFiscal year 2027 starts on 1 October 2026 with none of the twelve appropriations bills through both chambers, so the government runs on the continuing resolution signed in September rather than on a budget.0.64US Fiscal Year 2028 Begins
United States Department of the Treasury, Washington, D.C., United States
SCHEDULED83% CONFIDENCEin 1.0 yearsThe federal fiscal year is the 12-month period beginning on 1 October and ending on 30 September of the next calendar year, so fiscal 2028 runs 1 October 2027 to 30 September 2028.[1]The United States federal fiscal year 2028 starts on 1 October 2027 - the date by which Congress must have funded the government or shut it down.0.62The Fed Sets Rates at the December 2027 Meeting
SCHEDULED85% CONFIDENCEin 1.2 yearsThe Federal Reserve's[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "December 7-8" 2027, and Kalshi's[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".KalshiThe FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its December 7-8 2027 meeting. The meeting is one of the four in 2027 that comes with a Summary of Economic Projections - the "dot plot" - and a press conference. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 73%, Cut 25bps 13%, Hike 25bps 6%.0.61The President's Budget Request Falls Due
SCHEDULED83% CONFIDENCEin 131 daysThe Budget Enforcement Act of 1990 requires the President to submit the budget no later than the first Monday in February, which in 2027 is 1 February.[1]The statutory deadline for the President to send the fiscal 2028 budget to Congress is the first Monday in February 2027 - a deadline no president has met in over a decade.0.61The Fed Sets Rates at the March 2027 Meeting
SCHEDULED85% CONFIDENCEin 175 daysThe Federal Reserve's[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "March 16-17" 2027, and Kalshi's[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".KalshiThe FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its March 16-17 2027 meeting. The meeting is one of the four in 2027 that comes with a Summary of Economic Projections - the "dot plot" - and a press conference. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 67%, Hike 25bps 27%, Cut 25bps 10%.0.61The Fed Sets Rates at the June 2027 Meeting
SCHEDULED85% CONFIDENCEin 259 daysThe Federal Reserve's[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "June 8-9" 2027, and Kalshi's[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".KalshiThe FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its June 8-9 2027 meeting. The meeting is one of the four in 2027 that comes with a Summary of Economic Projections - the "dot plot" - and a press conference. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 59%, Cut >25bps 28%, Hike 25bps 20%.0.60The Fed Sets Rates at the September 2027 Meeting
SCHEDULED85% CONFIDENCEin 357 daysThe Federal Reserve's[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "September 14-15" 2027, and Kalshi's[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".KalshiThe FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its September 14-15 2027 meeting. The meeting is one of the four in 2027 that comes with a Summary of Economic Projections - the "dot plot" - and a press conference. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 59%, Hike 25bps 20%, Cut 25bps 6%.0.60India Targets 2027 Launch for First Bullet Train Segment
DELAYED3.5 years late63% CONFIDENCEin 326 daysIndia's bullet train was originally due in 2022; the railways minister now targets 15 August 2027 for the first Surat-Bilimora segment, with the full Mumbai-Ahmedabad line not expected until 2029.[1]India's first high-speed rail line, modelled on Japan's Shinkansen, is now targeted to open its first short segment in 2027, years later than originally planned.0.59India's Next General Election Picks a Prime Minister
Sansad Bhavan, Sansad Marg, New Delhi, India
ESTIMATED50% CONFIDENCEin 2.6 yearsThe Election Commission has not announced a schedule. Kalshi's[1] event ticker is dated April 30, 2029, which matches the 18th Lok Sabha's term ending in June 2029 and the spring polling India has used since 2014; its contracts stay open a year past that.KalshiThe 18th Lok Sabha's five-year term runs to June 2029, so India's next general election falls in the spring of that year. Kalshi dates its market to April 30, 2029, and on 20 September 2026 it had Narendra Modi at 51%, Yogi Adityanath at 19% and Rahul Gandhi at 6.5%.0.58Thailand-China Railway's First Phase Pushed to 2030
Nakhon Ratchasima, Thailand
DELAYED4 years late66% CONFIDENCEin 4.3 yearsGiven as scheduled, per the source[1]: "Thailand targets 2030 completion of first phase of high-speed rail link to China".The Bangkok-to-Nakhon Ratchasima leg of Thailand's high-speed rail link to China, once due by 2026, is now targeted for 2030 after years of delays.0.58NVIDIA Q3 Fiscal 2027 Results and Earnings Call
SCHEDULED80% CONFIDENCEin 55 daysNVIDIA's[2][3] own Q2 call transcript: "Our earnings call to discuss the results of our third quarter of fiscal 2027 is scheduled for November 17." The 2 p.m. PT time is NVIDIA's standing call time (events page) and is not yet confirmed; 17 Nov is a Tuesday, so Wednesday 18 Nov is the other likely day if it moves.NVIDIA reports its third quarter of fiscal 2027 against its own guide of $108 billion in revenue, the quarter in which Vera Rubin is expected to reach about a fifth of Data Center sales.0.57Trump Signs the Stopgap That Funds the Government to December 11
CONFIRMED90% CONFIDENCE21 days agoThe White House[1] statement dates the signing of H.R. 6500 to Wednesday, September 2, 2026. The act is in force from that day and its appropriations run to 11 December 2026, the date named in section 106(3) of the enrolled text.H.R. 6500, the Continuing Appropriations and Extensions Act, 2027, was signed on 2 September 2026, four weeks before the fiscal year ran out. Its appropriations run from 1 October to 11 December 2026, pushing the next shutdown fight past the midterm elections.0.56
