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Half the Government Shuts Down for Four Days
CONFIRMED87% CONFIDENCE235 days agoThe funding lapse ran from 31 January 2026, when the continuing resolution expired, to 3 February 2026, when the House passed the package 217-214 and the President signed it.[1]A stopgap covering six of the twelve appropriations bills expired on 31 January 2026, closing roughly half of federal agencies until the House passed a funding package 217-214 on 3 February.0.68Trump Signs the Stopgap That Funds the Government to December 11
CONFIRMED90% CONFIDENCE21 days agoThe White House[1] statement dates the signing of H.R. 6500 to Wednesday, September 2, 2026. The act is in force from that day and its appropriations run to 11 December 2026, the date named in section 106(3) of the enrolled text.H.R. 6500, the Continuing Appropriations and Extensions Act, 2027, was signed on 2 September 2026, four weeks before the fiscal year ran out. Its appropriations run from 1 October to 11 December 2026, pushing the next shutdown fight past the midterm elections.0.67The President's Budget Request Falls Due
SCHEDULED83% CONFIDENCEin 131 daysThe Budget Enforcement Act of 1990 requires the President to submit the budget no later than the first Monday in February, which in 2027 is 1 February.[1]The statutory deadline for the President to send the fiscal 2028 budget to Congress is the first Monday in February 2027 - a deadline no president has met in over a decade.0.61US Fiscal Year 2028 Begins
United States Department of the Treasury, Washington, D.C., United StatesUnited States Department of the Treasury
SCHEDULED83% CONFIDENCEin 1.0 yearsThe federal fiscal year is the 12-month period beginning on 1 October and ending on 30 September of the next calendar year, so fiscal 2028 runs 1 October 2027 to 30 September 2028.[1]The United States federal fiscal year 2028 starts on 1 October 2027 - the date by which Congress must have funded the government or shut it down.0.61The Longest Government Shutdown in US History Begins
CONFIRMED89% CONFIDENCE357 days agoThe shutdown began just after midnight on 1 October 2025 and ended on 12 November 2025 when the President signed the stopgap, a span of 43 days.[1]Federal funding lapsed just after midnight on 1 October 2025 and stayed lapsed for 43 days, the longest shutdown ever, over a fight about expiring Affordable Care Act subsidies.0.60US Fiscal Year 2027 Begins on a Stopgap
United States Department of the Treasury, Washington, D.C., United States
SCHEDULED84% CONFIDENCEin 8 daysThe US federal fiscal year runs 1 October to 30 September, so fiscal year 2027 begins on 1 October 2026 and ends on 30 September 2027.[1]PolymarketFiscal year 2027 starts on 1 October 2026 with none of the twelve appropriations bills through both chambers, so the government runs on the continuing resolution signed in September rather than on a budget.0.60China rolls out a further 1 trillion yuan in economic stimulus ($146 billion dollars)
CONFIRMED87% CONFIDENCE4.1 years agoHappened as dated, per the pin description: "…ng infrastructure projects. Tight rules were announced alongside the measures that require the proje…"Among the allowances, state policy banks were given an additional 300 billion yuan ($44 billion) focused mainly on financing infrastructure projects. Tight rules were announced alongside the measures that require the projects to be profit-making and targeted.
Local governments were given the green light to use more than 500 billion yuan ($73 billion) of existing special bond quotas and were promised reduced financing costs through interest-rate changes.
Amid an energy crisis sparked by severe droughts and heat waves, the cabinet said central-government-run electricity firms will be allowed to sell 200 billion yuan ($29 billion) in special debt to ensure adequate energy supply.
$146B0.58Malaysia Launches Forest City's Special Financial Zone
CONFIRMED82% CONFIDENCE2.0 years agoHappened as dated, per the source[1]: "On 20 September 2024, the Honorable Finance Minister II launched the Forest City Special Financial Zone (SFZ)."Malaysia formally launched the Forest City Special Financial Zone, a tax-incentive push aimed at reviving the stalled $100 billion artificial-island city project in the Johor Strait.$100B0.57Homeland Security Goes Dark for a Record 76 Days
Department of Homeland Security Headquarters, St. Elizabeths West Campus, Washington, D.C., United StatesUnited States Department of Homeland Security
CONFIRMED88% CONFIDENCE221 days agoDHS was without routine funding from 14 February 2026 until the President signed the funding bill on 30 April 2026, a record 76 days.[1]A two-week stopgap for DHS alone ran out on 14 February 2026, and the department stayed unfunded for 76 days - the longest shutdown of a single agency in US history - until the President signed a bipartisan bill on 30 April.0.57December Jobs Report Sets the Year-End US Unemployment Rate
Postal Square Building, Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2 Massachusetts Ave NE, Washington, DCBureau of Labor Statistics
SCHEDULED81% CONFIDENCEin 107 daysThe BLS[2] Employment Situation schedule puts the December 2026 report on January 8, 2027 at 8:30 a.m. ET, and Kalshi[1] closes its year-end unemployment market at 13:29 UTC that morning.KalshiThe BLS Employment Situation report for December 2026, out at 8:30 a.m. ET on January 8, 2027, fixes the unemployment rate the year closes on. On 20 September 2026 Kalshi had U-3 above 4.0% at 81% but only 5% above 5.0%, so traders expected a labour market that has loosened without cracking.0.56Tokyo Unveils $109BN Resilience Project
CONFIRMED77% CONFIDENCE3.8 years agoHappened as dated, per the source[1]: "In December 2022, the Tokyo Metropolitan Government unveiled the Tokyo Resilience Project."Tokyo's Metropolitan Government unveiled an 18-year, ¥17 trillion ($109BN) Resilience Project to fortify the city of 40 million against earthquakes, typhoons, tsunamis and volcanic activity.$109B0.56McCook Reservoir's Second Stage Delayed to 2032
DELAYED3 years late69% CONFIDENCEin 6.3 yearsDelayed from the original 2029 deadline, per the source[1]: "the current estimate for McCook Stage 2 going online is now Dec. 31, 2032."The next phase of Chicago's giant Deep Tunnel flood-control reservoir has slipped three years behind its original federal deadline because of a local stone shortage.0.56
