The first entry is always the pin's source. Overall confidence is a weighted average of how firmly each reference supports the start and end times used above; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newest.
The BLS[2] publishes its CPI release schedule a year ahead and puts the September 2026 report on October 14, 2026 at 8:30 a.m. ET; Kalshi[3] closes its September inflation market at 12:29 UTC that morning, minutes before the release.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics’ own schedule page is what fixes the September 2026 CPI report to October 14 at 8:30 a.m. ET.[1]
The next liquid CPI event on Kalshi[1] shows where traders think the September print leads — above 3.7% at 50% in November — without dating this pin.
The September 15, 2026 episode reports August CPI at 3.4% year over year with a hotter core reading, the print the September strikes on Kalshi[1][3] are anchored to.
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