Fira de Barcelona - Gran Via, Carrer de Mileva Maric, 08908 L'Hospitalet de Llobregat, Catalonia, SpainHewlett Packard Enterprise·…
予定確度 80%HPE's[1][2][3][4] event page states "2–3 December 2026 Fira Barcelona Gran Via, Barcelona, Spain" and schedules Antonio Neri's keynote for "Wednesday, 2 December 2026, 10:00-11:00"; HPE's events calendar and event guide give the same days. All day, 2 December to the exclusive 00:00Z after 3 December.
HPE's flagship European conference comes to Fira Barcelona Gran Via on 2-3 December 2026, opening with Antonio Neri's keynote and running networking, cloud and AI programmes with hundreds of demos.
European Space Astronomy Centre, Camino Bajo del Castillo, Sexmo de Casarrubios, El Castillo, Comunidad de Ciudad y Tierra de Segovia, Villanueva de la Cañada, Community of Madrid, 28692, SpainEuropean Space Agency
予定確度 80%ESA[1][2]自身のGaia Data Release 4のページは、この日付を確約として「近日公開:2026年12月2日」と記し、データ製品をまとめた公開日の記事も当日に掲載するとしている。アーカイブを保有する機関が定めた公開日であり、推定ではなく確定した予定だが、過去にデータリリースが遅れた例もある。
CityPlace 8 - Hewlett Packard Enterprise, East Mossy Oaks Road, Spring, Texas 77373, United StatesHewlett Packard Enterprise·…
推定確度 72%HPE[4][6] has not named the date yet (it announced the Q3 call three weeks ahead: "Wednesday, September 2 at 3:30 p.m. CT (4:30 p.m. ET)"); its FY25 Q4 call was "Thursday, December 04, 2025, 05:00 PM Eastern", and MarketBeat[2] says HPE "has not confirmed its next earnings publication date, but the company's estimated earnings date is Thursday, December 3rd, 2026" after market close, with Zacks[3] listing 12/03/2026 as "an estimated date". So Thursday 3 December 2026 at 4:30 p.m. ET (21:30 UTC), the time of HPE's latest call, is estimated; its Q4 calls in 2024 and 2025 started at 5:00 p.m. ET.
HPE is expected to report fiscal Q4 and full-year 2026 results after the close, most likely on Thursday 3 December, having guided to $13.9-14.8 billion of quarterly revenue and $1.20-1.30 of non-GAAP EPS; HPE has not yet announced the date.
Yas Marina Circuit, Yas Island, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
予定確度 80%The circuit's own site and the Emirates News Agency both put the 2026 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix weekend at 3-6 December with the race on Sunday 6 December; Kalshi's[1] market expires the next day.
Kalshi
Formula 1's first season under the 2026 rules ends with the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix at Yas Marina on Sunday 6 December 2026, the 24th and final round. On 20 September 2026 Kalshi priced the constructors' championship as all but over: Mercedes sat at 95-96%, with Ferrari, McLaren and Red Bull all at 1-2%.
予定確度 80%全 10 話予定TVmaze's[1][2] forward schedule gives 2026-12-08 as the announced premiere on Hulu.
Only Murders in the Building follows three New Yorkers who find they have a mutual interest in solving true crime – but limit their amateur sleuthing to only murders in their building. Season 6 starts on Hulu.
予定確度 85%J&J set the date itself: CFO Joseph Wolk said on the 15 July Q2 call "We look forward to sharing more on strategy, growth catalysts and a longer-term outlook at our Enterprise business review on December 8", and the source[1] reports he "expects to present stronger growth expectations at its Dec. 8 investor day"; no time or venue has been announced, so the pin sits at J&J's headquarters as an all-day date.
Johnson & Johnson holds its first enterprise business review since December 2023, where CFO Joseph Wolk says it will set out growth above its 5% to 7% long-term target, with a clear line of sight to double digits by the end of the decade.
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
予定確度 78%The Federal Reserve’s[2] published 2026 FOMC calendar lists the December 8–9 meeting, and the statement is released at 2:00 p.m. ET on the second day; Kalshi’s[1][4] market expires December 9, 2026 at 19:05 UTC and closes at 18:59 UTC, minutes before the announcement.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The Federal Open Market Committee announces its final 2026 rate decision at 2:00 p.m. ET on December 9, the last of the year’s eight scheduled meetings. On 20 September 2026 Kalshi had a second consecutive quarter-point hike as the favourite at 67%, with a hold at 31% and cuts priced near zero; Polymarket agreed almost to the point.
Peacock Theater, 777 Chick Hearn Court, Los Angeles, CA 90015, USA
予定確度 78%The Game Awards[2]' own announcement and the Peacock Theater's[3] event listing both give Thursday 10 December 2026, and Polymarket's market on the same award ends that night.
Kalshi
The Game Awards return to the Peacock Theater in Los Angeles on Thursday 10 December 2026. On 20 September 2026 Kalshi had Grand Theft Auto VI at 69% for Game of the Year, well clear of Resident Evil Requiem at 14% and Phantom Blade Zero at 7%.
予定確度 80%MyAnimeList's[1] own listing gives an exact theatrical release date, "Dec 11, 2026 - Dec 2026", confirmed by Anime News Network's report of its trailer reveal and December 11 opening.
TOHO animation STUDIO's The Apothecary Diaries: The Deceased Empress' Treasure, an original film story by Natsu Hyuuga, opens in Japanese theaters.
予定確度 86%H.R. 6500 funds federal agencies through 11 December 2026, so the continuing resolution expires at the end of that day.[1]
The stopgap signed in September expires on 11 December 2026, the deadline for Congress to enact the twelve fiscal 2027 appropriations bills or pass another continuing resolution before agencies shut down.
予定確度 80%OpenAI's[1][2] own deprecation page, announced 2026-06-11, gives the shutdown date as 11 December 2026. A shutdown date is the vendor's commitment to developers and is occasionally pushed back, never brought forward.
OpenAI switches off 6 models and endpoints on 11 December 2026; requests to them stop working and callers have to move to the named replacements. Going: gpt-5-2025-08-07, gpt-5-mini-2025-08-07, gpt-5-nano-2025-08-07, gpt-5-pro-2025-10-06, o3-2025-04-16, o3-pro-2025-06-10.
確定確度 88%Abu Dhabi's Department of Culture and Tourism named 11 December 2026 in a joint announcement with the Guggenheim[1] Foundation in late July 2026; the foundation's own press release carries the date.
Twenty years after it was announced, the Guggenheim Abu Dhabi opens on 11 December 2026 as the largest museum in the Guggenheim family - about 80,000 square metres, against roughly a quarter of that in New York. Frank Gehry arranged it around a single tall atrium with galleries threaded between ten sculptural cones, nine sheathed in stainless steel mesh and one in onyx and glass, so the roofline reads as a cluster of towers from across the Culture District.
Jazz at Lincoln Center, 10 Columbus Circle, New York, NY 10019, USA
予定確度 78%The Heisman[2] ceremony is fixed to the second Saturday of December - 13 December for the 91st award in 2025, so 12 December 2026 for the 92nd - and Kalshi's[1] market expires on 1 January 2027, after it.
Kalshi
The Heisman Trophy is presented on Saturday 12 December 2026, at a televised ceremony on ABC that the Heisman Trophy Trust marks as a private event. On 20 September 2026 Kalshi's market was the tightest in years: Trinidad Chambliss led at 24% and Darian Mensah at 22%, with Kamario Taylor at 10%.
確定確度 88%Officially locked by Marvel[3]/Disney and reported as a fixed date: "scheduled to release on Friday, December 18, 2026."
Marvel Studios' next Avengers ensemble film unites heroes from three universes against Robert Downey Jr.'s Victor von Doom, opening the finale of the Multiverse Saga.
推定確度 71%Google says 'Fall 2026' for the first collections; the last day of fall, December 20, is used.[1]
Google and Samsung will launch Gemini-powered Android XR glasses this fall in styles from Warby Parker and Gentle Monster, in audio-only and display versions.
予定確度 80%TVmaze's[1][2] forward schedule gives 2026-12-24 as the announced premiere on Netflix.
After landing her dream job in Paris, Chicago marketing exec Emily Cooper embraces her adventurous new life while juggling work, friends and romance. Season 6 starts on Netflix.
予定確度 74%Given as scheduled, per the source[1]: "Scheduled for completion in 2026."
The 53-storey DC Tower 2 is rising beside its twin in Donau City using a jump-form climbing system, on track to finish out the district by the end of 2026.
Sony Pictures Studios, 10202 West Washington Boulevard, Culver City, CA 90232, USA
予定確度 72%The 2026 calendar year closes on 31 December, and Polymarket's[1] own rules tie settlement to Box Office Mojo's[2] 2026 calendar-gross table once that day's data is available.
Polymarket
Polymarket's $17m market on the year's biggest film was close to done on 20 September 2026: Spider-Man: Brand New Day was priced at 94%, with Avengers: Doomsday a distant 4% and everything else at a cent or less. It resolves on Box Office Mojo's 2026 domestic calendar gross once 31 December's numbers land.
予定確度 78%Polymarket[1] resolves the market on who leads Venezuela at the end of 2026, with the end date set to December 31, 2026.
Polymarket
On December 31, 2026 Polymarket settles who officially holds Venezuela's head of state office. Acting president Delcy Rodríguez was sworn in on January 5 after U.S. troops captured Nicolás Maduro, and both still claim it: on 20 September 2026 the market's outcome row put Maduro at 47% and showed no percentage at all beside Rodríguez, only a 48¢ Buy Yes price.
予定確度 77%Given as scheduled, per the source[1]: "Phase 4, the encapsulation and burial of areas filled with spent fuel, will begin in 2026."
Finland's Posiva began drilling the first deposition hole at the Onkalo repository, a step toward becoming the world's first facility to permanently bury spent nuclear fuel.
予定確度 78%A year-high market is decided when the year ends: Kalshi[1] expires the event at 05:00 UTC on January 1, 2027, which makes December 31, 2026 the last day it can be settled on. The date is fixed by the market’s own terms, not estimated.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Kalshi’s year-high ladder for Ethereum settles on the highest price ETH touches in 2026. On 20 September 2026, with ether near $2,600, traders gave $3,500 a 30% chance, $4,000 22% and $5,000 9%. Polymarket’s equivalent book was a little more optimistic, pricing a touch of $3,000 at 59.5%.
予定確度 75%The market is settled on the ranking as it stands on December 31, 2026 and expires that day at 15:00 UTC, so the date is fixed by the market’s own terms.[1]
Kalshi
Kalshi
Kalshi settles its year-end ranking market on which lab holds the top AI model on December 31, 2026 — the exchange’s biggest AI book at 11.5M contracts. On 20 September 2026 Claude led at 71.5%, ahead of ChatGPT at 13.6%, Gemini at 8.9% and Grok at 4.1%.
予定確度 75%An annual count is settled when the year ends: Kalshi[1] expires the 2026 event on December 31, 2026 and Polymarket[2] closes its version at 04:59 UTC on January 1, 2027, so the date follows the market’s terms rather than an estimate.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Kalshi settles its annual SpaceX launch tally at the end of 2026. On 20 September 2026 above 120 launches was all but certain at 97%, above 140 traded at 68% and above 150 at 11%. Polymarket’s bucketed version agreed, putting 140–159 at 75.9%.
United Nations Headquarters, 405 East 42nd Street, New York, New York
予定確度 75%UN Secretaries-General serve five-year terms that run from January 1; Guterres's second expires December 31, 2026, so his successor starts January 1, 2027. Kalshi's[1] contracts close on January 5, 2027.
Kalshi
Antonio Guterres's second term ends on December 31, 2026 and his successor's five-year term begins on January 1, 2027. On 20 September 2026 Kalshi's market on who is confirmed had Rebeca Grynspan at 37%, Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett at 18% and Olara Otunnu at 10%.
予定確度 82%The day is an announced one, not a year-end placeholder: Putrajaya has held to a 1 January 2027 start since Transport Minister Anthony Loke said it was "confident RTS Link will start on January 1, 2027", and English Wikipedia still carries "Planned opening: 1 January 2027". The latest check-in keeps it there - AsiaOne[2], 4 April 2026: the RTS Link "is on track for opening in January 2027 despite the ongoing global energy crisis" - after an earlier Singapore target of passenger service by December 2026.
A new four-kilometre rail crossing over the Strait of Johor aims to cut the commute between Johor Bahru and Singapore from up to four hours to about six minutes.
予定確度 76%Kalshi[1][2] settles the event on Bitcoin’s price at 12:00 a.m. EST on January 1, 2027 (05:00 UTC), which is a fixed settlement instant rather than an estimate.
Kalshi
Kalshi
Kalshi’s largest crypto event settles on Bitcoin’s price at 12:00 a.m. ET on January 1, 2027, splitting the outcome into $5,000 buckets. On 20 September 2026, with BTC near $80,800, the market’s favourites were $75,000–$80,000 at 14.9% and $80,000–$85,000 at 13.9% — a year that ends roughly where it stood.
予定確度 72%The Twentieth Amendment fixes the new Congress’s first meeting at noon on January 3, and House rules make the Speaker election its first order of business. Kalshi[1] does not date its market, which runs to 2031.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The Congress elected in the 2026 midterms first meets on January 3, 2027, and the House can do no other business until it has a Speaker. On 20 September 2026 Kalshi's market on the next new Speaker had Hakeem Jeffries at 86% — the table's chance, against “88% chance” on the order ticket beside it — with Jim Jordan at 10% and Steve Scalise at 2.6%.
Postal Square Building, Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2 Massachusetts Ave NE, Washington, DCBureau of Labor Statistics
予定確度 81%The BLS[2] Employment Situation schedule puts the December 2026 report on January 8, 2027 at 8:30 a.m. ET, and Kalshi[1] closes its year-end unemployment market at 13:29 UTC that morning.
Kalshi
The BLS Employment Situation report for December 2026, out at 8:30 a.m. ET on January 8, 2027, fixes the unemployment rate the year closes on. On 20 September 2026 Kalshi had U-3 above 4.0% at 81% but only 5% above 5.0%, so traders expected a labour market that has loosened without cracking.
予定確度 73%Wikipedia[1] lists "January 15, 2027" as the scheduled release date, matching Geek Vibes Nation's[2] 2027 list.
Children of Blood and Bone is an upcoming American fantasy film directed by Gina Prince-Bythewood, who co-wrote the screenplay with Tomi Adeyemi, based on the 2018 novel by Adeyemi. The film stars Thuso Mbedu, Damson Idris, Amandla Stenberg, Tosin Cole, Cynthia Erivo, Lashana Lynch, Zackary Momoh, Richard Mofe-Damijo, Chiwetel Ejiofor, Regina King, Idris Elba, and Viola Davis.
予定確度 75%Wikipedia[1] lists "January 15, 2027" as the scheduled release date, matching Geek Vibes Nation's[2] 2027 list.
The Beekeeper 2 is an upcoming action thriller film directed by Timo Tjahjanto and written by Umair Aleem. It serves as the sequel to The Beekeeper (2024), with Jason Statham, Emmy Raver-Lampman, Bobby Naderi, Jemma Redgrave, and Jeremy Irons reprising their roles, and Yara Shahidi, Pom Klementieff and Adam Copeland joining.
予定確度 80%Wikipedia[1] states "General elections will be held in Nigeria on 16 January 2027 to elect the president and vice president, members of the Senate and House of Representatives", and INEC's own published election calendar carries the same date.
Nigerians elect a president, vice president, senators and members of the House of Representatives on 16 January 2027, with governorship and state assembly votes following on 6 February.
500 South Buena Vista Street, Burbank, United StatesDisney+
予定確度 80%TVmaze's[1][2] forward schedule gives 2027-01-20 as the announced premiere on Disney+.
Set after the fall of the Empire, Ahsoka follows the former Jedi knight Ahsoka Tano as she investigates an emerging threat to a vulnerable galaxy. Season 2 starts on Disney+.
予定確度 80%OpenAI's[1][2] own deprecation page, announced 2026-07-20, gives the shutdown date as 20 January 2027. A shutdown date is the vendor's commitment to developers and is occasionally pushed back, never brought forward.
OpenAI switches off 9 models and endpoints on 20 January 2027; requests to them stop working and callers have to move to the named replacements. Going: gpt-realtime, gpt-audio, gpt-4o-audio, gpt-4o-realtime, gpt-realtime-mini, gpt-audio-mini, gpt-4o-mini-realtime, gpt-4o-mini-audio, gpt-4o-mini-transcribe-2025-03-20.
予定確度 80%Wikipedia[1] states "Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Kyrgyzstan on 27 January 2027", a date parliament set when it reset the electoral timetable.
Kyrgyzstan holds a presidential election on 27 January 2027, brought forward after parliament reset the date. Incumbent Sadyr Japarov has said he will seek a second term.
予定確度 85%The Federal Reserve's[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "January 26-27" 2027, and Kalshi's[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".
Kalshi
The FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its January 26-27 2027 meeting. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 61%, Hike 25bps 25%, Cut 25bps 8%.
予定確度 85%Stated as firm, per gameranx.com[1]: "Metroid Ravenous is releasing on the Switch 2 on January 28, 2027."
Nintendo revealed Metroid Ravenous, a new 2D entry where Samus fights for survival on a hostile moon after being attacked, alongside a special edition and three amiibo, set for a January 28, 2027 Switch 2 launch.
Rod Laver Arena, Melbourne Park, Olympic Boulevard, Melbourne VIC 3000, AustraliaTennis Australia
予定確度 83%Taken from the organiser's published 2027 window, "11 - 31 Jan 2027", with the women's singles final on the second Saturday as the schedule has fixed it for decades.[1]
The women's singles final closes the Australian Open's second Saturday on Rod Laver Arena, a day before the men decide theirs. The winner lifts the Daphne Akhurst Memorial Cup.
予定確度 83%The Budget Enforcement Act of 1990 requires the President to submit the budget no later than the first Monday in February, which in 2027 is 1 February.[1]
The statutory deadline for the President to send the fiscal 2028 budget to Congress is the first Monday in February 2027 - a deadline no president has met in over a decade.