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DC Tower 2 Set to Complete Vienna's Donau City Skyline
Donau-City-Straße, Donau City, Vienna, Austria
Ethereum's 2026 High Is Fixed at Year-End
予定確度 78%A year-high market is decided when the year ends: Kalshi[1] expires the event at 05:00 UTC on January 1, 2027, which makes December 31, 2026 the last day it can be settled on. The date is fixed by the market’s own terms, not estimated.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Kalshi’s year-high ladder for Ethereum settles on the highest price ETH touches in 2026. On 20 September 2026, with ether near $2,600, traders gave $3,500 a 30% chance, $4,000 22% and $5,000 9%. Polymarket’s equivalent book was a little more optimistic, pricing a touch of $3,000 at 59.5%.
Venezuela's Leader Is Decided at the End of 2026
Miraflores Palace, Caracas, Venezuela
予定確度 78%Polymarket[1] resolves the market on who leads Venezuela at the end of 2026, with the end date set to December 31, 2026.
Polymarket
On December 31, 2026 Polymarket settles who officially holds Venezuela's head of state office. Acting president Delcy Rodríguez was sworn in on January 5 after U.S. troops captured Nicolás Maduro, and both still claim it: on 20 September 2026 the market's outcome row put Maduro at 47% and showed no percentage at all beside Rodríguez, only a 48¢ Buy Yes price.
Finland's Onkalo Repository Set to Bury Nuclear Waste
予定確度 77%Given as scheduled, per the source[1]: "Phase 4, the encapsulation and burial of areas filled with spent fuel, will begin in 2026."
Finland's Posiva began drilling the first deposition hole at the Onkalo repository, a step toward becoming the world's first facility to permanently bury spent nuclear fuel.
The Top AI Model of 2026 Is Decided
予定確度 75%The market is settled on the ranking as it stands on December 31, 2026 and expires that day at 15:00 UTC, so the date is fixed by the market’s own terms.[1]
Kalshi
Kalshi
Kalshi settles its year-end ranking market on which lab holds the top AI model on December 31, 2026 — the exchange’s biggest AI book at 11.5M contracts. On 20 September 2026 Claude led at 71.5%, ahead of ChatGPT at 13.6%, Gemini at 8.9% and Grok at 4.1%.
SpaceX Closes Out Its 2026 Launch Count
予定確度 75%An annual count is settled when the year ends: Kalshi[1] expires the 2026 event on December 31, 2026 and Polymarket[2] closes its version at 04:59 UTC on January 1, 2027, so the date follows the market’s terms rather than an estimate.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Kalshi settles its annual SpaceX launch tally at the end of 2026. On 20 September 2026 above 120 launches was all but certain at 97%, above 140 traded at 68% and above 150 at 11%. Polymarket’s bucketed version agreed, putting 140–159 at 75.9%.
AmazonThe Highest-Grossing Film of 2026 Is Settled on 31 December
Sony Pictures Studios, 10202 West Washington Boulevard, Culver City, CA 90232, USA
予定確度 72%The 2026 calendar year closes on 31 December, and Polymarket's[1] own rules tie settlement to Box Office Mojo's[2] 2026 calendar-gross table once that day's data is available.
Polymarket
Polymarket's $17m market on the year's biggest film was close to done on 20 September 2026: Spider-Man: Brand New Day was priced at 94%, with Avengers: Doomsday a distant 4% and everything else at a cent or less. It resolves on Box Office Mojo's 2026 domestic calendar gross once 31 December's numbers land.
The Next UN Secretary-General Takes Office
United Nations Headquarters, 405 East 42nd Street, New York, New York
予定確度 75%UN Secretaries-General serve five-year terms that run from January 1; Guterres's second expires December 31, 2026, so his successor starts January 1, 2027. Kalshi's[1] contracts close on January 5, 2027.
Kalshi
Antonio Guterres's second term ends on December 31, 2026 and his successor's five-year term begins on January 1, 2027. On 20 September 2026 Kalshi's market on who is confirmed had Rebeca Grynspan at 37%, Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett at 18% and Olara Otunnu at 10%.
Johor Bahru-Singapore RTS Link Set to Open
Woodlands North, North Region, Singapore
予定確度 82%The day is an announced one, not a year-end placeholder: Putrajaya has held to a 1 January 2027 start since Transport Minister Anthony Loke said it was "confident RTS Link will start on January 1, 2027", and English Wikipedia still carries "Planned opening: 1 January 2027". The latest check-in keeps it there - AsiaOne[2], 4 April 2026: the RTS Link "is on track for opening in January 2027 despite the ongoing global energy crisis" - after an earlier Singapore target of passenger service by December 2026.
A new four-kilometre rail crossing over the Strait of Johor aims to cut the commute between Johor Bahru and Singapore from up to four hours to about six minutes.
$3B
Bitcoin's End-of-2026 Price Settles at Midnight
予定確度 76%Kalshi[1][2] settles the event on Bitcoin’s price at 12:00 a.m. EST on January 1, 2027 (05:00 UTC), which is a fixed settlement instant rather than an estimate.
Kalshi
Kalshi
Kalshi’s largest crypto event settles on Bitcoin’s price at 12:00 a.m. ET on January 1, 2027, splitting the outcome into $5,000 buckets. On 20 September 2026, with BTC near $80,800, the market’s favourites were $75,000–$80,000 at 14.9% and $80,000–$85,000 at 13.9% — a year that ends roughly where it stood.
ドイツの最低賃金、14.60ユーロに引き上げ
Federal Ministry of Labour and Social Affairs, Berlin, Germany
Federal Ministry of Labour and Social Affairs
The New House of Representatives Elects Its Speaker
United States Capitol, Washington, DC
予定確度 72%The Twentieth Amendment fixes the new Congress’s first meeting at noon on January 3, and House rules make the Speaker election its first order of business. Kalshi[1] does not date its market, which runs to 2031.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The Congress elected in the 2026 midterms first meets on January 3, 2027, and the House can do no other business until it has a Speaker. On 20 September 2026 Kalshi's market on the next new Speaker had Hakeem Jeffries at 86% — the table's chance, against “88% chance” on the order ticket beside it — with Jim Jordan at 10% and Steve Scalise at 2.6%.
December Jobs Report Sets the Year-End US Unemployment Rate
Postal Square Building, Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2 Massachusetts Ave NE, Washington, DC
Bureau of Labor Statistics
予定確度 81%The BLS[2] Employment Situation schedule puts the December 2026 report on January 8, 2027 at 8:30 a.m. ET, and Kalshi[1] closes its year-end unemployment market at 13:29 UTC that morning.
Kalshi
The BLS Employment Situation report for December 2026, out at 8:30 a.m. ET on January 8, 2027, fixes the unemployment rate the year closes on. On 20 September 2026 Kalshi had U-3 above 4.0% at 81% but only 5% above 5.0%, so traders expected a labour market that has loosened without cracking.
Children of Blood and Bone Opens in Theaters January 15
予定確度 73%Wikipedia[1] lists "January 15, 2027" as the scheduled release date, matching Geek Vibes Nation's[2] 2027 list.
Children of Blood and Bone is an upcoming American fantasy film directed by Gina Prince-Bythewood, who co-wrote the screenplay with Tomi Adeyemi, based on the 2018 novel by Adeyemi. The film stars Thuso Mbedu, Damson Idris, Amandla Stenberg, Tosin Cole, Cynthia Erivo, Lashana Lynch, Zackary Momoh, Richard Mofe-Damijo, Chiwetel Ejiofor, Regina King, Idris Elba, and Viola Davis.
The Beekeeper 2 Opens in Theaters January 15
予定確度 75%Wikipedia[1] lists "January 15, 2027" as the scheduled release date, matching Geek Vibes Nation's[2] 2027 list.
The Beekeeper 2 is an upcoming action thriller film directed by Timo Tjahjanto and written by Umair Aleem. It serves as the sequel to The Beekeeper (2024), with Jason Statham, Emmy Raver-Lampman, Bobby Naderi, Jemma Redgrave, and Jeremy Irons reprising their roles, and Yara Shahidi, Pom Klementieff and Adam Copeland joining.
OpenAI Retires 9 Legacy Audio, Realtime, and Transcription Models
予定確度 80%OpenAI's[1][2] own deprecation page, announced 2026-07-20, gives the shutdown date as 20 January 2027. A shutdown date is the vendor's commitment to developers and is occasionally pushed back, never brought forward.
OpenAI switches off 9 models and endpoints on 20 January 2027; requests to them stop working and callers have to move to the named replacements. Going: gpt-realtime, gpt-audio, gpt-4o-audio, gpt-4o-realtime, gpt-realtime-mini, gpt-audio-mini, gpt-4o-mini-realtime, gpt-4o-mini-audio, gpt-4o-mini-transcribe-2025-03-20.
Kyrgyzstan Elects a President
予定確度 80%Wikipedia[1] states "Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Kyrgyzstan on 27 January 2027", a date parliament set when it reset the electoral timetable.
Kyrgyzstan holds a presidential election on 27 January 2027, brought forward after parliament reset the date. Incumbent Sadyr Japarov has said he will seek a second term.
The Fed Sets Rates at the January 2027 Meeting
予定確度 85%The Federal Reserve's[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "January 26-27" 2027, and Kalshi's[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".
Kalshi
The FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its January 26-27 2027 meeting. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 61%, Hike 25bps 25%, Cut 25bps 8%.
Metroid Ravenous Announced for Switch 2, Releasing January 28, 2027
予定確度 85%Stated as firm, per gameranx.com[1]: "Metroid Ravenous is releasing on the Switch 2 on January 28, 2027."
Nintendo revealed Metroid Ravenous, a new 2D entry where Samus fights for survival on a hostile moon after being attacked, alongside a special edition and three amiibo, set for a January 28, 2027 Switch 2 launch.
The Australian Open Women's Singles Final
予定確度 83%Taken from the organiser's published 2027 window, "11 - 31 Jan 2027", with the women's singles final on the second Saturday as the schedule has fixed it for decades.[1]
The women's singles final closes the Australian Open's second Saturday on Rod Laver Arena, a day before the men decide theirs. The winner lifts the Daphne Akhurst Memorial Cup.
The President's Budget Request Falls Due
予定確度 83%The Budget Enforcement Act of 1990 requires the President to submit the budget no later than the first Monday in February, which in 2027 is 1 February.[1]
The statutory deadline for the President to send the fiscal 2028 budget to Congress is the first Monday in February 2027 - a deadline no president has met in over a decade.
Annular Solar Eclipse Crosses Chile
Point of greatest eclipse at sea, off Chile
予定確度 82%NASA's[1][2][3] eclipse catalogue gives the instant of greatest eclipse as 15:59:35 UT on 2027-02-06 (16:00:47 TD, the two separated by delta-T), from Saros series 131. Eclipse circumstances are computed from orbital mechanics, so the date and time are exact centuries ahead.
The Moon's shadow touches down at 15:59:35 UT on 2027-02-06, and the annular phase lasts up to 7 minutes 51 seconds along a path 281.5 km wide crossing Chile, Argentina and the Atlantic. A partial eclipse is visible from South America, Antarctica and western and southern Africa.
The 69th Grammy Awards Pick Album of the Year
Crypto.com Arena, 1111 South Figueroa Street, Los Angeles, CA 90015, USA
予定確度 82%Variety[3] and Deadline reported the Recording Academy's announced date of 7 February 2027 when the telecast moved to ABC, and Kalshi's[1] market expires the morning after.
Kalshi
The 69th Grammy Awards are on Sunday 7 February 2027 at Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, the first Grammys on ABC since 1972. On 20 September 2026 Kalshi's Album of the Year market led with "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" at 37% and Rosalía's "Lux" at 25%.
Narnia: The Magician's Nephew Opens in Theaters February 12
予定確度 75%Wikipedia[1] lists "February 12, 2027" as the scheduled release date, matching Geek Vibes Nation's[2] 2027 list.
Narnia: The Magician's Nephew is an upcoming high fantasy film written for the screen, co-produced, and directed by Greta Gerwig, based on the 1955 novel The Magician's Nephew, the sixth published and first chronological novel in the children's book series The Chronicles of Narnia by C. It will be the fourth film adaptation based on the The Chronicles of Narnia series of novels, following a trilogy of films produced
Super Bowl LXI Decides the 2026 NFL Season at SoFi Stadium
SoFi Stadium, 1001 Stadium Drive, Inglewood, CA 90301, USA
予定確度 78%The NFL has long had Super Bowl LXI fixed for 14 February 2027 at SoFi Stadium[3]; Wikipedia[2] and the stadium's own event listing both give that date, and Kalshi's[1] market expires the same day.
Kalshi
The NFL's 61st championship game is set for 14 February 2027 at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California, the ninth Super Bowl staged in greater Los Angeles. On 20 September 2026 Kalshi's futures market was unusually flat: Buffalo and the Los Angeles Rams led at about 12% each, with Baltimore, San Francisco, Kansas City and Seattle bunched at 7-8%.
The Super Bowl LXI Halftime Show Gets Its Headliner
SoFi Stadium, 1001 Stadium Drive, Inglewood, CA 90301, USA
予定確度 80%The show is played at Super Bowl LXI, which Wikipedia[2] and SoFi Stadium both date to 14 February 2027; Kalshi's[1] markets expire the following morning.
Kalshi
Whoever plays the SoFi Stadium halftime show on 14 February 2027 is already being traded. Kalshi runs a separate yes/no market per artist, and on 20 September 2026 JAY-Z was the clear favourite, ahead of Miley Cyrus in the mid-30s, Harry Styles around 25% and Justin Bieber around 20%.
Calvin Harris Plays Langley Park, Perth
予定確度 85%Given as scheduled, per ticketmaster[3].com.au[1][2]: "Calvin Harris - Australia Tour 2027 | Thursday 18 Feb 2027, 6:00 pm | Langley Park, Perth" - a date announced ahead of the on-sale, not a date already played.
Calvin Harris' first ever Australian headline tour reaches Perth, the opening night of the tour. Four outdoor shows across February 2027, all ticketed through Ticketmaster.
Calvin Harris Plays Brisbane Showgrounds, Brisbane
予定確度 85%Given as scheduled, per ticketmaster[3].com.au[1][2]: "Calvin Harris - Australia Tour 2027 | Friday 19 Feb 2027, 5:00 pm | Brisbane Showgrounds, Bowen Hills" - a date announced ahead of the on-sale, not a date already played.
Calvin Harris' first ever Australian headline tour reaches Brisbane, the second night of the tour. Four outdoor shows across February 2027, all ticketed through Ticketmaster.
Calvin Harris Plays The Domain, Sydney
予定確度 85%Given as scheduled, per ticketmaster[3].com.au[1][2]: "Calvin Harris - Australia Tour 2027 | Saturday 20 Feb 2027, 5:00 pm | The Domain, Sydney" - a date announced ahead of the on-sale, not a date already played.
Calvin Harris' first ever Australian headline tour reaches Sydney, the only Saturday night on the tour. Four outdoor shows across February 2027, all ticketed through Ticketmaster.
Family Guy Season 25 Premieres
Family Guy follows Peter Griffin the endearingly ignorant dad, and his hilariously offbeat family of middle-class New Englanders in Quahog, RI. Lois is Peter's wife, a stay-at-home mom with no patience for her family's antics. Then there are their kids: 18-year-old Meg is an outcast at school and the Griffin family punching bag; 13-year-old Chris is a socially awkward teen who doesn't have a clue about the opposite sex; and one-year-old Stewie is a diabolically clever baby whose burgeoning sexuality is very much a work in progress. Rounding out the Griffin household is Brian the family dog and a ladies' man who is one step away from AA. Season 25 starts on FOX.
OpenAI、文字起こしモデル4種を廃止
Calvin Harris Plays Flemington Racecourse, Melbourne
予定確度 85%Given as scheduled, per ticketmaster[3].com.au[1][2]: "Calvin Harris - Australia Tour 2027 | Friday 26 Feb 2027, 5:00 pm | Flemington Racecourse, Flemington" - a date announced ahead of the on-sale, not a date already played.
Calvin Harris' first ever Australian headline tour reaches Melbourne, the closing night, six days after Sydney. Four outdoor shows across February 2027, all ticketed through Ticketmaster.
New Nissan Stadium Set to Open for the Titans
New Nissan Stadium, East Nashville, Nashville, Davidson County, Tennessee, United StatesTennessee Titans
予定確度 79%Given as scheduled, per the source[1]: "The project remains on schedule, and the stadium's completion date is set for February 2027."
A new $2.1 billion enclosed Nissan Stadium is scheduled to hand over to the Tennessee Titans in February 2027, funded largely by public money in a bid to eventually host a Super Bowl.
$2.2B
Stix Asia Opens at UnCommons in Las Vegas
延期3 か月遅れ確度 79%No source names a day. The newest and most specific statement of timing is the station's report of 16 September 2026: "Opening is planned for this winter", so the pin takes the last day of meteorological winter 2026-27, 28 February 2027. Stix Asia's[2] own page says "Opening 2026" and UnCommons[3]' says "STIX ASIA COMING 2026", but neither narrows the season and both are stale - the UnCommons page was last modified on 4 April 2025 - so the year on them is not allowed to pull the date back into December. It is marked delayed rather than estimated because the target has already moved: the Review-Journal[5] reported on 28 April 2026 that "a fall 2026 opening is planned" and the Las Vegas Weekly[4] still had it "set for a fall opening" on 9 July.
An 18,000-square-foot Asian food hall with 12 stalls and roughly 400 seats opens in the former Sundry space at UnCommons in southwest Las Vegas, the second Stix Asia after the 2023 Honolulu original. The first three tenants named - Ginza Bairin, Ramen BARIO and NANAMUSUBI - are each opening their first mainland US location.
パラマウント＝ワーナー・ブラザース・ディスカバリー反トラスト訴訟が開廷
Phillip Burton Federal Building & United States Courthouse, 450 Golden Gate Avenue, San Francisco, CA 94102, United States