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Falcon 9 launches Starlink Group 15-25
预估延期10天可信度 60%17天后Spaceflight Now's[2] schedule (checked 2026-09-23): "Falcon 9 Starlink 15-25 - 'TBD' launch time on October 10 | SLC-4E, Vandenberg"; rocketlaunch.org gives October 10, 4:00 PM UTC. No firm time yet.A batch of 27 satellites for the Starlink mega-constellation - SpaceX's project for space-based Internet communication system. Lifts off from Space Launch Complex 4E, Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA to Low Earth Orbit. The booster is due to land at Of Course I Still Love You.0.75- 0.75
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The Boeing 787 Dreamliner Makes Its Maiden Flight
已确认延期2.5年可信度 82%16.8年前Happened as dated, per en.wikipedia.org[1]: "On December 15, 2009, Boeing conducted the 787-8 maiden flight from Paine Field in Everett, Washington, at 10:27 am PST."N787BA lifted off from Paine Field at 10:27 am PST and landed three hours later at Boeing Field, reaching 180 knots and 13,200 feet. The first airliner with a primarily composite airframe flew more than two years later than Boeing first promised.0.66Two SpaceX Starships Dock in Orbit
预估可信度 69%1.3年后No docking has been scheduled. Polymarket’s[2] dated ladder puts 3.2% on it happening by the end of 2026 and 51.5% by the end of 2027, so 2027 carries about 48 points against 3 for 2026; a year-only date takes its last day. Kalshi’s[1][3] "before 2028" market prices the whole question at 69%.KalshiPolymarketDocking two Starships is the step that makes orbital propellant transfer — and with it Artemis and Mars — possible. On 20 September 2026 Kalshi gave it a 69% chance before 2028, while Polymarket’s dated ladder put only 3.2% on it happening by the end of 2026 against 51.5% by the end of 2027.0.65Boeing Completes the Maiden Flight of Its Model 314 Clipper
已确认可信度 85%88.3年前HistoryLink.org[3] and the Museum of Flight both date the maiden flight to June 7, 1938.Boeing's Model 314 Clipper flying boat made its 38-minute first flight over Puget Sound, piloted by test pilot Eddie Allen. The giant flying boat went on to open Pan Am's first non-stop transatlantic passenger service.0.64Falcon 9 launches Crew-13
SpaceX Crew-13 is the thirteenth crewed operational flight of a Crew Dragon spacecraft to the International Space Station as part of NASA's Commercial Crew Program. Lifts off from Space Launch Complex 40, Cape Canaveral SFS, FL, USA to Low Earth Orbit. The booster is due to land at Landing Zone 40.0.64ALSO TM-B Launch Edition Deliveries Begin
已延期~延期2个月可信度 77%51天前No source names the day. TechCrunch[2][3], on Friday 31 July 2026, said deliveries start "next week"; ALSO confirmed on 19 August that the bike "has started shipping to customers across the U.S." The pin takes Monday 3 August, the first day of that week - estimated, all-day, and the product page itself carries no date.The first TM-B Launch Edition e-bikes reached US riders in the week of 3 August 2026, about six weeks later than the spring ALSO promised at the bike's unveiling. The Rivian spinout's Class 3 debut runs to 100 miles on a charge and swaps its Top Frame from cargo to passenger duty in under three seconds.$4.5K0.62Kinetica 1 launches 9 satellites
Share-ride of 9 commercial Earth observation and technology demonstration satellites to SSO, details TBD. Lifts off from Launch Area 130, Jiuquan Satellite Launch Center, People's Republic of China to Sun-Synchronous Orbit.0.62The GCAP Combat Air Demonstrator Begins Flight Testing
预估可信度 62%1.3年后A span the event runs from, per aerospacetestinginternational.com[1]: "Power-on is planned for mid-2027, aircraft ready by the end-2027 with flight test starting from early 2028", so the pin takes the first day of that period.Flight tests of the UK’s crewed sixth-generation demonstrator are due to start from early 2028, after power-on in mid-2027. More than 11,500 parts – about 90% of the aircraft’s weight – have been designed and released, with final assembly under way in Lancashire.0.62- €42B0.61
Arianespace Launches Ariane 6 on Its Maiden Flight, VA262
已确认可信度 87%2.2年前Arianespace's newsroom and Wikipedia's[2][3] Ariane flight VA262 article confirm Ariane 6's maiden flight lifted off from Kourou on 9 July 2024.Europe's new heavy-lift launcher Ariane 6, built by ArianeGroup, flew for the first time from the Guiana Space Centre. The inaugural flight met its main objectives despite an anomaly in an upper-stage auxiliary unit late in the mission.0.61
