ESTIMATED50% CONFIDENCEThe presidency's release says "se espera que en diciembre de 2027 esté concluida" (it is expected to be finished in December 2027), a month rather than a fixed day.[1]
The 11.4-kilometre cable car will run nine stations from Pedregal de San Nicolás in the Ajusco down to Metro Universidad, carrying an investment the presidency puts at "más de 4 mil 700 millones de pesos" (more than 4.7 billion pesos). Construction stood at 20 per cent when President Sheinbaum inspected the works in August 2026.
ESTIMATED50% CONFIDENCEMTR's Northern Link project site says "the main construction works have already been commenced in 2023, with a target to complete the entire project in 2027", giving a year rather than a day.[1]
Kwu Tung opens between Sheung Shui and Lok Ma Chau as the first railway station serving the Kwu Tung North new development area in Hong Kong's Northern Metropolis. It is being built by cut-and-cover directly above the operating Lok Ma Chau Spur Line tunnel, using box structures left in place when that tunnel was built, so East Rail trains keep running underneath.
The Barn Data Center, Benton, Saline Township, Washtenaw County, Michigan, United StatesOracle
ESTIMATED72% CONFIDENCEOracle's[1][2][4] tracker: 'Contracted in October 2025. Customer delivery begins in 2H27', and Related's CEO told CNBC[3] he expects to deliver 'at the end of 2027'.
Oracle expects The Barn, its 1 GW-plus Stargate campus in Saline Township, Michigan, to start delivering capacity to OpenAI in the second half of 2027.
ESTIMATED69% CONFIDENCEMyAnimeList[1][2] and the official announcement give only the year 2027, so the pin sits at the end of that year.
J.C.Staff's One-Punch Man returns in 2027 with the second cour of its third season, continuing Saitama's Hero Association clash with the Monster Association.
ESTIMATED67% CONFIDENCEThe report says only "the holiday season in late 2027" with no retail date, so the pin is dated to the last day of 2027.[1]
Insider Kepler L2's read of AMD and NVIDIA production plans points to a holiday 2027 launch for Sony's PlayStation 6, mirroring Microsoft's Xbox Helix. AMD's AT2 RDNA 5 GPU is reported as the only major gaming silicon in volume production that year.
National Bureau of Economic Research, 1050 Massachusetts Ave, Cambridge, MA
ESTIMATED74% CONFIDENCEThe market asks only whether the two negative quarters fall anywhere between Q4 2026 and Q4 2027, so there is no single day to hang it on; by the convention for a year-only date the pin takes the last day of 2027. Kalshi[1][3] does not expire it until January 31, 2028, when the advance estimate for Q4 2027 is due. The 25% is the chance on Kalshi’s trade panel, which sits beside a 24¢ Yes price.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Kalshi’s recession market for 2027 prices the chance of two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth between Q4 2026 and Q4 2027, on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimates — despite the KXRECSSNBER ticker, no NBER call is involved. On 20 September 2026 it sat at 25%, its 2026 contract at 6%, and Polymarket’s cumulative "recession by end of 2027" book, which also counts an NBER announcement, was higher still at 34.5%.
Gate 2: Tides of Conflict, Studio M2's adaptation of Takumi Yanai's sequel light novels, sends the Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force into the Special Region's seas and is due in 2027.
ESTIMATED69% CONFIDENCENo docking has been scheduled. Polymarket’s[2] dated ladder puts 3.2% on it happening by the end of 2026 and 51.5% by the end of 2027, so 2027 carries about 48 points against 3 for 2026; a year-only date takes its last day. Kalshi’s[1][3] "before 2028" market prices the whole question at 69%.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Docking two Starships is the step that makes orbital propellant transfer — and with it Artemis and Mars — possible. On 20 September 2026 Kalshi gave it a 69% chance before 2028, while Polymarket’s dated ladder put only 3.2% on it happening by the end of 2026 against 51.5% by the end of 2027.
ESTIMATED69% CONFIDENCEA target year, per Aramco's[1][2][3][4] Q2 2026 results release (3 August 2026): phase two 'continued with procurement and construction activities, with an expected completion in 2027' - a bare year, so its last day.
The second phase adds gas compression, new processing trains at the Jafurah Gas Plant and the Riyas NGL fractionation plant in Jubail, built under 16 contracts worth about $12.4 billion.
ESTIMATED69% CONFIDENCEA target, not a fixed date: Nestlé's full-year 2025 release (19 February 2026) says "In Q4 2025, we announced an acceleration of planned global headcount reductions to c. 16,000 by the end of 2027" and keeps the savings goal of "CHF 3.0 billion by the end of 2027"; a year-end target takes its last day.[1]
Nestlé aims to finish cutting about 16,000 jobs and reach CHF 3.0 billion of Fuel for Growth cost savings by the end of 2027. By mid-2026 it reported CHF 1.7 billion of savings delivered.
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