SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins75% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 75%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
The Daily Star[1], 26 September 2026: "The campaign aims to cover an estimated 34 lakh children in the age group and will continue until October 31."
Bangladesh's month-long catch-up measles-rubella drive for about 3.4 million children aged 6 to 59 months, launched on 26 September by the health minister, is due to run until 31 October. It targets children missed by earlier rounds during the country's worst measles outbreak.
Mitsui Outlet Park Tama Minami-Osawa, 舞の橋歩道橋, Mitsui Outlet Park Tama Minamiosawa, Hachioji, Tokyo, 192-0364, JapanPia
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins72% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 72%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins from 50% to 74% confidence
The event page gives "2026年10月31日（土）〜11月3日（火・祝）", 11:00 to 17:00.[1]
Sixteen bakeries, several with Pan no Fes Award medals, sell limited "gohoubi" reward breads at Mitsui Outlet Park Tama Minami-Osawa from 31 October to 3 November 2026.
Plenitude Arena, 99, Rue des Longues Raies, Les Groues, Nanterre, Hauts-de-Seine, Île-de-France, France métropolitaine, 92000, FranceRolex
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins77% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 77%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
The arena's event page gives "Du 31 octobre au 8 novembre 2026" for the Rolex Paris Masters[4] 2026.
The Rolex Paris Masters, an ATP Masters 1000 event, runs 31 October to 8 November 2026 at Paris La Défense Arena, its second year at the new home.
CONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 1 reference, the source included, supports the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
Page opened on 2026-10-18 and confirms the activity; The official site states the 53rd parade is Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 7 pm.[1]
A giant costume parade of puppets, bands and thousands of marchers that has become the city's signature Halloween night. Spectators line Sixth Avenue and anyone in costume can join.
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins72% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 72%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins from 50% to 74% confidence
Taiwan News[1] (30 Sep 2026): "The 24th Taiwan LGBT+ Pride Parade will take place Oct. 31 in Taipei under the theme 'Our Voices, Our Journey'."
The 24th Taiwan LGBT+ Pride Parade, themed 'Our Voices, Our Journey', starts and ends at Taipei City Hall Plaza on 31 October 2026, seven years after same-sex marriage became legal.
CONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 1 reference, the source included, supports the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins73% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 73%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins from 50% to 74% confidence
The festival site gives "2026年10月31日（土）、11月1日（日）" and the committee release repeats "2026年10月31日(土)～11月1日(日)の2日間".[1]
Japan's largest bread fair returns to Setagaya Park and HOME/WORK VILLAGE on 31 October and 1 November 2026 with 71 limited breads and a Best Bread Contest on mentaiko-filled baguettes.
CONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 1 reference, the source included, supports the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
Page opened 2026-10-18 (HTTP 200); home page lists Fall Fling Saturdays Oct 31-Dec 5 plus Black Friday; spring season in April-May; prices on a separate page not read.[1]
A costumed village with jousting, artisans, and period entertainment returns for a fall run of Saturdays plus Black Friday.
Microsoft Building 92, 15010, Northeast 36th Street, Microsoft West Campus, Overlake, Redmond, King County, Washington, 98052, United StatesMicrosoft
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins74% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 74%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 6 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins from 50% to 74% confidence
Microsoft statement to UploadVR[1][4]: "As of Nov. 1, 2026 for consumers and Nov. 1, 2027 for commercial customers, Windows Mixed Reality will no longer be available for download ... and we will discontinue support."
Microsoft will stop supporting Windows Mixed Reality for consumers on 1 November 2026, ending downloads of the Mixed Reality Portal and WMR for SteamVR and all updates.
West Drive, Columbus Circle, Manhattan, New York County, New York, 10023, United StatesNew York Road Runners
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins81% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 81%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
Given as scheduled, per timeout.com[1]: "When the marathon returns on Sunday, November 1, runners will follow a slightly different path"; NYRR's[2][5] release says "Taking place Sunday, Nov. 1".
Nearly 60,000 runners are expected on Sunday 1 November 2026 for the TCS New York City Marathon, marking 50 years of the five-borough course on a route changed for the first time since 2011.
ESTIMATEDDate confidence: ESTIMATEDA target, not a fixed dateHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all ESTIMATED pins65% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 65%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins from 50% to 74% confidence
Estimated: On October 21, 2026 Polymarket[1][2] priced a qualifying Gemini Pro release at 1.55% by October 23, 2.35% by October 31, 13% by November 30 and 13% by December 31, on US$1,660,393.97 event volume. The ladder is now monotonic. Its largest remaining listed interval is November 1–30 (10.65 percentage points); November 1 marks that interval’s estimated beginning. All deadlines remain below 50%, so this is a weak timing estimate rather than an official release date.
Polymarket
Polymarket
October 21 market odds imply the largest remaining interval in November, but only 13% by November 30 on US$1,660,393.97 volume. November 1 is a low-confidence window boundary, not an announced release.
Saint-Malo, Ille-et-Vilaine, Brittany, Metropolitan France, 35400, FranceRoute du Rhum
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins81% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 81%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
Allovoyages[1] and Carnets Vanille[3] both give a start at 13:02 on Sunday 1 November 2026; the finish dates depend on each class, so the pin runs to mid-November.
The 13th Route du Rhum starts at 13:02 on Sunday 1 November 2026 off Saint-Malo: a solo, non-stop race of about 3,500 nautical miles to Pointe-à-Pitre in six classes, with around 118 boats moored in the harbour village.
Madison Square Garden, 4, Pennsylvania Plaza, Chelsea District, Manhattan Community Board 5, Manhattan, New York County, New York, 10001, United StatesMadison Square Garden Entertainment
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins79% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 79%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 8 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
Ticketmaster's[1][3] artist page lists 'Harry Styles: Together, Together. Harryween.' at Madison Square Garden with startDate 2026-10-31T20:00:00 (8 p.m. EDT), the last of the New York dates.
Harry Styles plays the 30th and final night of his Together, Together run at Madison Square Garden on Halloween, a 'Harryween' show that ends his only US concerts of 2026, with Jamie xx opening.
CONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 1 reference, the source included, supports the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
The National Park Service dry-season page describes mild, low-humidity weather from November through April; other NPS[1] pages give slightly different edges.
The low-humidity, lower-mosquito months concentrate wildlife around shrinking pools and bring the fullest ranger program schedule at park entrances.
ESTIMATEDDate confidence: ESTIMATEDA target, not a fixed dateHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all ESTIMATED pins65% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 65%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 2 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins from 50% to 74% confidence
Estimated: On October 21, 2026 Polymarket[1] priced the next qualifying Claude Opus release at 9% by October 31, 60.5% by November 30 and 82.5% by December 31, on US$11,087.15 event volume. November 1–30 carries the largest remaining quoted interval mass (51.5 percentage points); November 1 marks its estimated onset, not an announced launch day. Each individual timing book is under US$10,000.
Polymarket
October 21 Polymarket odds favour a November window for Opus 5.6 or higher: 60.5% by November 30 on US$11,087.15 event volume. November 1 is the estimated window boundary, not an official release date.
CONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins90% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 90%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 1 reference, the source included, supports the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
The start is the storm's first dated position in the warning agencies' track; the track and end date are updated while the storm is active.[1]
Tropical Cyclone Murasu was tracked from 2026-11-01 to 2026-11-03 (10 six-hourly positions), reaching maximum sustained winds of 85 knots (98 mph, 157 km/h) on 2026-11-02. The positions and wind speeds are the Joint Typhoon Warning Center's own warnings, compiled by NASA's Earth Observatory Natural Event Tracker (EONET). The storm was still listed as active at the time of the last update.
Haus der Kulturen der Welt, 10, John-Foster-Dulles-Allee, Tiergarten, Mitte, Berlin, 10557, DeutschlandFalling Walls Foundation
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins84% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 84%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 6 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
Berlin Science Week's[1][2] site states '1-10 November 2026', with the festival centre at HKW on 6-8 November; berlin.de[4] lists the same span.
Berlin Science Week runs 1-10 November 2026 with 300+ mostly free events from about 140 organisations and a festival centre at the Haus der Kulturen der Welt on 6-8 November.
MUFG Bank, Meguro-dori, Kami-Ōsaki 3, Kami-Ōsaki, Shinagawa, Tokyo, 141-0021, JapanBaskin-Robbins Japan
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins82% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 82%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
The company's release gives the campaign period as "2026年11月1日（日） 〜 12月25日（金）", with mobile-order reservations opening 9 October.[1]
Baskin-Robbins Japan's Happy Ice Cream Christmas campaign runs 1 November to 25 December, with a wreath Christmas Palette 8, Pokémon and USJ 25th Anniversary cakes, and orders open since 9 October.
1211 Avenue of the Americas, Manhattan, United StatesFOX
CONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins79% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 79%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
Fox's press listing via The Futon Critic[2] reads: "SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 01 ... The Simpsons - (8:00-8:31 PM ET/PT)"; that is 2026-11-02T01:00:00Z, matching TVmaze's[1] airstamp. Per the Fox/TVmaze schedule; networks can change air dates.
The Simpsons season 38, episode 5, "Testing 1-2-3", is scheduled for Sunday 1 November 2026 at 8 pm ET on FOX: Lisa has herself evaluated for three types of neurodiversity, which remind her of Principal Skinner, Comic Book Guy and Homer, with Rachel Bloom as guest voice Annette.
CONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins76% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 76%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
Organisers said at a Beijing news conference that 'the summit will take place from November 2 to 5 in Wuzhen, east China's Zhejiang Province'.[1]
The 2026 World Internet Conference Wuzhen Summit runs 2-5 November in Wuzhen, Zhejiang, with open-source AI and AI governance at the centre of 27 sub-forums.
American Museum of Natural History, 200, Central Park West, Upper West Side, Manhattan Community Board 7, Manhattan, New York County, New York, 10024, United StatesCFDA
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins79% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 79%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
CFDA's[1][3] own announcement states: "the 2026 CFDA Fashion Awards presented by Amazon Fashion will take place on Monday, November 2, 2026, at the American Museum of Natural History."
The CFDA Fashion Awards presented by Amazon Fashion will take place Monday, November 2, 2026 at the American Museum of Natural History, the fourth consecutive year American fashion's biggest awards night has been held at the Upper West Side museum.
1010 Common, 1010, Common Street, Central Business District, Storyville, New Orleans, Orleans Parish, Louisiana, 70112, United StatesAccor
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins74% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 74%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins from 50% to 74% confidence
Fairmont's[2] 5 October 2026 release (Accor) says reservations from 2 November are live and its Q&A states 'Fairmont New Orleans is scheduled to open on November 2, 2026'; a June 2026 report had quoted mid-November (13 November) arrivals.
Fairmont Hotels & Resorts says Fairmont New Orleans opens on 2 November 2026 with 250 rooms and suites in 17 floors of the former Bank of New Orleans tower. It is the brand's first New Orleans hotel since the Fairmont closed after Hurricane Katrina and its 19th in the USA.
6885, Elm Street, Ingleside, Balls Hill, McLean, Fairfax County, Virginia, 22101, United StatesMars
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins79% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 79%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
Mars's release says the candy will debut "November 2 through a limited early-access bundle on TikTok Shop", before select retailers later in 2026 and national expansion in 2027.[1]
Skittles' new Gummy Crystals, soft gummies coated in tangy crunchy crystals, come in Original and Tropical Splash and go on sale on TikTok Shop on 2 November 2026 before retail in 2027.
1100 Avenue Of The Americas, New York City, New York, United StatesHBO
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins80% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 80%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 2 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
TVmaze's[1][2] forward schedule gives 2026-11-01 as the announced premiere on HBO.
The American Gilded Age was a period of immense economic change, of huge fortunes made and lost, and the rise of disparity between old money and new.Against this backdrop of change, the story begins in 1882 — introducing young Marian Brook, the orphaned daughter of a Union general, who moves into the New York City home of her thoroughly old money aunts Agnes van Rhijn and Ada Brook. Accompanied by Peggy Scott, an accomplished African-American woman, Marian inadvertently becomes enmeshed in a social war between one of her aunts, a scion of the old money set, and her stupendously rich neighbors, a ruthless railroad tycoon and his ambitious wife, George and Bertha Russell.In this exciting new world that is on the brink of the modern age, will Marian follow the established rules of society, or forge her own path? Season 4 starts on HBO.
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins81% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 81%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
Tweet: "“Cave Stone” - November 3"; Yahoo[3] and Sneaker Freaker[4] agree.
Nike’s “Cave Stone” colorway of Caitlin Clark’s Caitlin 1 signature basketball shoe goes on sale November 3 for $140 in adult sizes.
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins76% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 76%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
SEMA's[2] show site: "The SEMA Show[1] takes place November 3-6, 2026 at the Las Vegas Convention Center located at 3150 Paradise Road."
The automotive aftermarket's biggest trade show runs 3-6 November 2026 at the Las Vegas Convention Center, with thousands of custom vehicle builds and new products and a public day on Friday 6 November.
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins80% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 80%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
Election Day for federal midterms is fixed by federal law as the Tuesday after the first Monday in November; the source[1] article states the 2026 midterms fall on Nov. 3, 2026.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Voters nationwide decide control of the U.S. House and Senate in the first midterm election of Donald Trump's second term. Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi, along with the generic congressional ballot, have swung toward Democrats over the course of 2026, a reversal from the start of the cycle, as Trump's approval rating slid and voters cited cost-of-living pressures as a top concern.
New York City Hall, 260, Broadway, Tribeca, Lower Manhattan, Manhattan, New York County, New York, 10000, United States
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
The COGE release puts the proposals "before New Yorkers at the ballot box this November"; The City Reporter's[2][4] voter guide gives the day: "Election Day is coming up in New York City, on Nov. 3, 2026", with "five questions for voters".
Five proposals from Mayor Mamdani's Commission on Government Efficiency would speed up sidewalk cafe and street-safety approvals, simplify city contracting and construction permits, and set a target for the rainy-day fund. Voters decide each one on Election Day.
California State Capitol, 1315 10th Street, Sacramento, California
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins70% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 70%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins from 50% to 74% confidence
Polymarket's[1][2] rules name "the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026", the Tuesday after the first Monday in November.
Polymarket
Polymarket
California votes for governor on Tuesday, November 3, 2026, with Gavin Newsom term-limited. On 20 September 2026 Polymarket read the race as close to settled: Xavier Becerra at 94% against Republican Steve Hilton at 5.5%, with nobody else above 0.1%.
Texas State Capitol, 1100 Congress Avenue, Austin, Texas
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins72% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 72%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins from 50% to 74% confidence
Polymarket[1][2] resolves on "the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election"; federal law sets Election Day on November 3, 2026, and the market's own end date is that day.
Polymarket
Polymarket
Texas votes for a U.S. Senate seat on November 3, 2026. On 20 September 2026 Polymarket had Democrat James Talarico at 60% against Republican Ken Paxton at 42%, and its companion market gave Democrats a 61% chance of taking the chamber.
Ministry of Health and Family Welfare (Bangladesh)
