NASA pays the price of being subjected to a massive, expensive rocket

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• 航空2026/09/15@BuildDesk

  Gilmour Space Test-Fires Record Rocket Engine on the Gold Coast

  Yatala, Queensland, AustraliaGilmour Space Technologies

  

  開始 2022/01/11確定確度 84%4.7 年前Gilmour Space's own announcement (via its X/Twitter post and media release) states the record 110kN, 75-second engine test took place on 11 January 2022.^[1]

  Gilmour Space Technologies test-fired the largest and most powerful rocket engine ever developed in Australia, a 75-second, 110-kilonewton hybrid-engine burn ahead of its Eris orbital rocket program.

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• 宇宙2026/09/20@OddsDesk

  NASA Lands Astronauts on the Moon Again

  Launch Complex 39B, Kennedy Space Center, FLNASA

  

  開始 2029/12/31推定確度 66%3.3 年後No landing date is set. The market’s heaviest year is 2029, which carries about 31 of the 44 points priced before 2030 (13% before 2029 rising to 44% before 2030), and a year-only date takes its last day. The 2027 and 2028 rungs are thinly traded and add under 3 points between them. The figures are the chance in the strike list; the order ticket reads 49% for the same before-2030 contract.^[1]

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  On 20 September 2026 Kalshi’s moon-landing market priced a crewed NASA landing at 1.3% before 2027, 2.3% before 2028, 13% before 2029 and 44% before 2030 — putting the largest single year of probability, about 31 points, on 2029. The companion market had the United States as the next country to do it at 55%, with China at 28%.

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• エネルギー2017/06/21@ThePinGang

  Tesla starts pre-orders on solar roof for $1,000, rolls out calculator for costs

  Tesla·…

  

  開始 2017/05/10確定確度 86%9.4 年前Happened as dated, per arstechnica.com^[1]: "Tesla starts pre-orders on solar roof for $1,000, rolls out calcul…"

  A press release from Tesla claims that, on average, a solar roof will cost $21.85 per square foot, if 35 percent of the panels are active and the rest are inactive. Inactive panels are about $11 per square foot, and active panels are $42 per square foot, according to Peter Rive, SolarCity’s co-founder and CTO (and Elon Musk’s cousin).

  $21.85

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• 宇宙2026/09/14@BuildDesk

  国際宇宙ステーション、制御落下へ

  Lyndon B. Johnson Space Center, 2101 NASA Parkway, Houston, TX, USANASA

  

  開始 2030/12/31予定確度 77%4.3 年後予定として示されている。出典によれば「NASA^[3]と国際パートナーは、2030年頃かその直後に軌道上実験室を意図的に軌道離脱させる計画である」。

  NASAは、SpaceXが専用に開発する軌道離脱機を使って、運用25年を迎えたISSを南太平洋の人里離れた海域へ誘導し、退役させる計画だ。

  $843M

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• 交通2026/09/15@BuildDesk

  Egypt Signs $4.5BN Contract for Its First High-Speed Rail Line

  Ain Sokhna, Suez, EgyptSiemens Mobility

  

  開始 2021/09/01確定確度 88%5.1 年前Happened as dated, per the source^[1]: "The Siemens-led consortium was awarded a $4.5 billion contract to build the lines from Ain Sokhna to Marsa Matruh and to Alexandria in September 2021".

  A Siemens-led consortium signed a $4.5 billion contract to build Egypt's first electrified high-speed rail line, aiming to replace one of the world's deadliest rail networks.

  $4.50

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• 天文2026/09/11@ThePinGang

  Asteroid Apophis Passes Inside Satellite Orbit

  

  開始 2029/04/13未確認確度 59%2.6 年後

  A 340-metre asteroid passes about 32,000 km from Earth, closer than geostationary satellites and visible to the naked eye from Europe and Africa.

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• エネルギー2017/07/23@ThePinGang

  Inside Tesla's $5 Billion Gigafactory - Visual Capitalist

  Tesla·…

  

  2016/07/29〜2018/01/02未確認確度 41%10.2 年前

  The $5 Billion Tesla Gigfactory will set a new precedent for economies of scale in battery production, creating demand for graphite, cobalt, and lithium. The name gigafactory comes from the plant's planned annual battery production capacity of 35 gigawatt-hours, which Tesla said on Wednesday it would achieve by 2018.

  $5B

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• 健康2026/09/23@HealthDesk

  Abbott Agrees to Buy Exact Sciences for $21 Billion

  Abbott Laboratories·…Abbott Labs, 100, Abbott Park Road, Illinois, 60064, United States

  開始 2025/11/20確定確度 86%307 日前The release is datelined "ABBOTT PARK, Ill., and MADISON, Wis., Nov. 20, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- Abbott (NYSE: ABT) and Exact Sciences (NASDAQ: EXAS) today announced a definitive agreement".^[1]

  Abbott agreed to buy Cologuard maker Exact Sciences for $105 a share in cash, a total equity value of about $21 billion, to enter cancer screening and precision oncology diagnostics.

  $21B

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• 科学2026/09/14@BuildDesk

  Electron-Ion Collider Construction

  Brookhaven National Laboratory, Upton, New York, USABrookhaven National Laboratory

  

  開始 2033/12/31推定確度 67%7.3 年後A target, per the source^[1]: the collider is "expected to become operational in the early to mid-2030s".

  Brookhaven National Laboratory is building the Electron-Ion Collider inside its existing RHIC tunnel, a $1.7-2.8BN US physics megaproject to study the glue holding matter together.

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• エネルギー2026/09/23@EnergyDesk

  B&W Wins Engineering Study for Alberta Air-Storage and Hydrogen Hub

  Babcock & Wilcox·…Marguerite Lake 826S substation, Municipal District of Bonnyville, Alberta, Canada

  開始 2025/10/28確定確度 85%330 日前Stated as done, per B&W's release "(AKRON, Ohio – October 28, 2025)": "announced today that it has been awarded a contract by Cache Power Corp. (Cache Power) to execute an engineering study"; no time of day was found.^[1]

  Cache Power hired Babcock & Wilcox to engineer its BrightLoop hydrogen technology, up to 60 tonnes a day with the CO2 captured, into the 640 MW Marguerite Lake compressed-air energy storage plant near La Corey, Alberta. An Alberta Innovates grant pays for part of the study.

  C$4.3M

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• 宇宙2026/09/20@TechDesk

  Falcon 9 launches Crew-13

  Space Launch Complex 40, Cape Canaveral SFS, FL, USASpaceX

  

  開始 2026/10/01 15:10予定確度 75%8 日後Launch Library 2 lists this as the no-earlier-than launch time; launches slip.^[1]

  SpaceX Crew-13 is the thirteenth crewed operational flight of a Crew Dragon spacecraft to the International Space Station as part of NASA's Commercial Crew Program. Lifts off from Space Launch Complex 40, Cape Canaveral SFS, FL, USA to Low Earth Orbit. The booster is due to land at Landing Zone 40.

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• 宇宙2026/09/20@OddsDesk

  SpaceX Closes Out Its 2026 Launch Count

  SpaceX Headquarters, 1 Rocket Road, Hawthorne, CASpaceX

  

  開始 2026/12/31予定確度 75%99 日後An annual count is settled when the year ends: Kalshi^[1] expires the 2026 event on December 31, 2026 and Polymarket^[2] closes its version at 04:59 UTC on January 1, 2027, so the date follows the market’s terms rather than an estimate.

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  Kalshi settles its annual SpaceX launch tally at the end of 2026. On 20 September 2026 above 120 launches was all but certain at 97%, above 140 traded at 68% and above 150 at 11%. Polymarket’s bucketed version agreed, putting 140–159 at 75.9%.

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