Kyiv plans to launch a counteroffensive against Russia this spring. A former US military meteorologist has taken to Twitter to provide valuable predictions as to when ground conditions will be right.
The first entry is always the pin's source. Overall confidence is a weighted average of how firmly each reference supports the start and end times used above; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newest.
Happened as dated, per dw.com: "…will the mud season end? Kyiv plans to launch a counteroffensive against Russia this spring. A form…"
PBS NewsHour's May 19, 2023 report confirms the counteroffensive's delay was driven by lingering mud season - "the mud is like a soup" - alongside slow Western weapons deliveries, matching the pin's title and falling within its stored date window.
The page could not be fetched, but the BBC's own headline, "Zelensky says Ukraine needs more time for counter-offensive," published May 11, 2023, supports the pin's account of counteroffensive timing pressure just ahead of its stored late-May window.
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