- Start
- Oct 4, 202675% CONFIDENCEfrom the source
Lima Elects a Mayor, With López Aliaga Leading From the Council List
- Voters in Lima Province elect the Metropolitan Mayor and all 39 members of the Metropolitan Council for 2027-2030, alongside regional and municipal elections across Peru[1]
- Incumbent Renzo Reggiardo, in office since 13 October 2025, is not running; Peruvian law bars immediate re-election[1]
- Popular Renewal's registered candidate Luis Rubio withdrew in August 2026, leaving Rafael López Aliaga, mayor from 2023 until he resigned to run for president and now first on the party's council list, as its de facto standard-bearer[1]
- Late polls: Ipsos for Perú21 (24-25 September) López Aliaga 30.0%, Carlos Bruce 15.6%, Francis Allison 15.1%; Datum 29.6%, 17.2%, 13.0%; CPI for RPP 31.0%, 17.4%, 11.9%[1]
- On Polymarket, $286,000 has traded on the winner, with López Aliaga at 86.6% (read on 1 October 2026)[2]
References 375% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 75%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
The first entry is always the pin's source. Overall confidence is a weighted average of how firmly each reference supports the start and end times used above; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newest.
- [1]75%en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Lima_municipal_electionen.wikipedia.org· Posted Oct 1, 2026· Starts Oct 4, 2026 ✓· 35% of score
Peru's 2026 regional and municipal elections are set for 4 October 2026, the date the Lima election article and the campaign coverage give.
- [2]70%Lima Mayoral Election Winner - Polymarketpolymarket.com· Added Oct 1, 2026· 35% of score
Prediction market on the next mayor of Lima; $286K traded, López Aliaga 86.6% on 1 October 2026.[1]
- [3]82%Elecciones Regionales y Municipales 2026: Rafael López Aliaga lidera intención de voto en Lima Metropolitana - Infobaeinfobae.com· Published Aug 29, 2026· 31% of score
August poll: López Aliaga leads Lima voting intention by 18.2 points over Carlos Bruce at 12.4%.[1]
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