- Start
- Dec 3, 202650% CONFIDENCEfrom the source
Spotify Wrapped Names the Most-Streamed Artist of 2026
- Polymarket's “Top Spotify Artist 2026” market treats the result as close to settled: Bad Bunny at 86%, Drake at 7%, Taylor Swift at 3%, Bruno Mars at 1% and The Weeknd under 1%[1]
- The page's own context note gives Bad Bunny 85.5% and Drake 6.7% against the 86% and 7% on the outcome rows[1]
- It resolves “according to the name of the artist listed by Spotify as the top artist of 2026”, from official Spotify information “typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped”, and resolves to “Other” if Spotify has not named a 2026 top artist by 31 January 2027[1]
- The rules point at the Wrapped 2025 announcement as the model, which Spotify published on 3 December 2025[1][2]
- In that report Bad Bunny was crowned Spotify's top artist globally “for the fourth time, after claiming the title in 2020, 2021, and 2022”, with 19.8 billion streams, and also took the global top album with DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS[2]
- The rest of the 2025 global top five ran Taylor Swift second, The Weeknd third, Drake fourth and Billie Eilish fifth[2]
- The market note credits Bad Bunny's 2026 lead to “his commanding year-to-date streaming lead, fueled by enduring catalog plays from prior hits and the sustained momentum of his 2025 album Debi Tirar Mas Fotos alongside its world tour”, his record of multiple Wrapped wins and Latin-market dominance, adding that with three months left “any late-year surge from competitors would need exceptional scale to close the gap”[1]
- The market splits the global and US titles: a related contract on Drake being the top artist in the US for 2026 trades at 81%, where Spotify's 2025 US list was led by Taylor Swift with Drake second and Bad Bunny fifth[1][2]
- Volume sits oddly against the prices: Bruno Mars has drawn $419,062 while trading at 1%, almost exactly matching Bad Bunny's $419,542 at 86%, out of $1,649,372 traded since the market opened on 22 December 2025[1]
- The page lists an end date of 31 December 2026 while its chart label and FAQ say 30 December[1]
- Polymarket notes the market is not endorsed by Spotify and that “Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies”[1]
References 265% CONFIDENCE
The first entry is always the pin's source. Overall confidence is a weighted average of how firmly each reference supports the start and end times used above; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newest.
- [1]50%polymarket.com/event/top-spotify-artist-2026polymarket.com· Posted Sep 20, 2026· Starts Dec 3, 2026 ✓· 50% of score
Spotify[2] has not announced when 2026's Wrapped drops. The 2025 report - the source Polymarket names - was published on 3 December 2025, and recent editions have all landed in the first days of December, so early December 2026 is an estimate.
- [2]80%Spotify Wrapped 2025: Top Artists, Songs, Albums, Podcasts and Audiobooksnewsroom.spotify.com· Added Sep 20, 2026· 50% of score
Polymarket's[1] rules name this Spotify newsroom post as the template for resolution; its 3 December 2025 publication date is what dates this pin's estimate.
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