The Top AI Model of 2026 Is Decided
SCHEDULED75% CONFIDENCEThe market is settled on the ranking as it stands on December 31, 2026 and expires that day at 15:00 UTC, so the date is fixed by the market’s own terms.[1]
Kalshi
Kalshi
Kalshi settles its year-end ranking market on which lab holds the top AI model on December 31, 2026 — the exchange’s biggest AI book at 11.5M contracts. On 20 September 2026 Claude led at 71.5%, ahead of ChatGPT at 13.6%, Gemini at 8.9% and Grok at 4.1%.