ESTIMATEDDate confidence: ESTIMATEDA target, not a fixed dateHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all ESTIMATED pins65% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 65%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 6 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins from 50% to 74% confidence
Estimated: no departure is scheduled; the date is the market's December 31, 2026 deadline for an announcement, and the odds are readings of November 9, 2026.[1]
Polymarket
Kalshi
Polymarket, listed November 8, 2026, gave about 11.5% that Jensen Huang's resignation or removal as Nvidia CEO is announced by December 31, on about $226,000 traded. Kalshi's companion ladder put an exit before 2029 near 45%, as observed on November 9.
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins75% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 75%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
An annual count is settled when the year ends: Kalshi[1] expires the 2026 event on December 31, 2026 and Polymarket[2] closes its version at 04:59 UTC on January 1, 2027, so the date follows the market’s terms rather than an estimate.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Kalshi settles its annual SpaceX launch tally at the end of 2026. On 20 September 2026 above 120 launches was all but certain at 97%, above 140 traded at 68% and above 150 at 11%. Polymarket’s bucketed version agreed, putting 140–159 at 75.9%.
Microsoft Building 92, 15010, Northeast 36th Street, Microsoft West Campus, Overlake, Redmond, King County, Washington, 98052, United StatesMicrosoft
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins77% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 77%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 6 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
Schneider[1] IM: "Effective December 31, 2026, Microsoft[2][6] will retire the mixed reality applications Dynamics 365 Guides and Dynamics 365 Remote Assist"; Microsoft Learn: "will no longer be available after December 31, 2026".
Microsoft will retire its Dynamics 365 Remote Assist and Guides mixed reality apps for HoloLens on 31 December 2026; renewals closed on 1 November 2025.
CONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 1 reference, the source included, supports the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
The Navy Pier[1] page lists New Year's Eve fireworks on Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 p.m.
A free midnight fireworks show over the lakefront skyline.
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins77% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 77%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
Given as scheduled, per the source[1]: "Phase 4, the encapsulation and burial of areas filled with spent fuel, will begin in 2026."
Finland's Posiva began drilling the first deposition hole at the Onkalo repository, a step toward becoming the world's first facility to permanently bury spent nuclear fuel.
ESTIMATEDDate confidence: ESTIMATEDA target, not a fixed dateHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all ESTIMATED pins65% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 65%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins from 50% to 74% confidence
Estimated: Kalshi's[1][2] Kraken markets ask which bank leads a US IPO before 1 January 2027 rather than when it happens, so there is no timing ladder. The date is the last day of that window, 31 December 2026. Quotes are bid/ask midpoints read on 27 October 2026. Estimated contract-count-times-last-price volume across the five banks is about US$5,677 (126,687 contracts); this is not reported cash turnover.
Kalshi
On 27 October 2026 Kalshi priced each of five big banks at about 4.5% to 5% to serve as a lead underwriter for a Kraken US IPO before 1 January 2027. Bids of 1 to 2 cents sit against asks of 8 cents, so the quotes are wide and carry little signal about timing; it is a bet on who leads the deal, not a listing date.
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins75% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 75%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
The market is settled on the ranking as it stands on December 31, 2026 and expires that day at 15:00 UTC, so the date is fixed by the market’s own terms.[1]
Kalshi
Kalshi
Kalshi settles its year-end ranking market on which lab holds the top AI model on December 31, 2026 — the exchange’s biggest AI book at 11.5M contracts. On 20 September 2026 Claude led at 71.5%, ahead of ChatGPT at 13.6%, Gemini at 8.9% and Grok at 4.1%.
Allegiant Stadium, 3333 Al Davis Way, Las Vegas, Nevada 89118, United StatesESPN Events
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins83% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 83%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
Las Vegas Bowl: "Las Vegas Bowl XXXV will be played Thursday, Dec. 31, 2026, at 12:45 p.m. PT (3:45 p.m. ET) at Allegiant Stadium[5] and televised by ESPN."
The 35th Las Vegas Bowl puts an SEC team against a Big Ten, Big 12, ACC or Oregon State/Washington State opponent at 12:45 p.m. on 31 December, live on ESPN.
1450 Page Mill Road, Palo Alto, California 94304, United States
ESTIMATEDDate confidence: ESTIMATEDA target, not a fixed dateHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all ESTIMATED pins65% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 65%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 1 reference, the source included, supports the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins from 50% to 74% confidence
xAI has announced no date. Polymarket’s[1] ladder prices a 1.25% chance by October 31 and 13.5% by November 30, climbing to 39.5% by December 31, 2026, on nearly $20,000 in volume. The pin takes December 31, 2026, the peak window on the active board.
Polymarket
Polymarket traders price a 39.5% chance that xAI will release Grok 5 by December 31, 2026, following the release of Grok 4.7 in September.
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins80% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 80%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 2 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
Current operator page says Countdown to 2027, Copley Square, and entirely free and open to all. New Year’s Eve is December 31, 2026; the page’s separately labelled 2026 performers are not the 2027 lineup. Replaces an unsupported month-long placeholder.[1]
Boston’s free First Night celebration welcomes 2027 on December 31, 2026, with Copley Square as its announced hub. The new edition’s performer schedule is still pending.
Sites Reservoir, Glenn and Colusa Counties, California
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins88% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 88%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 6 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
The Authority says construction is scheduled to begin in 2026 and the reservoir to be operational at the end of 2033; both are years, so the last day of each is used. The water right was approved November 4, 2026 (announced by the Governor).[1]
The State Water Resources Control Board approved the final water right permit for Sites Reservoir, a proposed 1.5 million acre-foot offstream reservoir in Glenn and Colusa counties. The Sites Project Authority schedules construction to begin in 2026 and the reservoir to be operational at the end of 2033.
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 1 reference, the source included, supports the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
Stated: Official Fiesta Bowl page gives December 30, 2026 at 5:30 PM Arizona time (MST), equivalent to December 31 at 00:30 UTC.[1]
A College Football Playoff-era New Year's bowl game at State Farm Stadium, with a parade and fan events beforehand.
United Nations Headquarters, 405 East 42nd Street, New York, New York
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
UN Secretaries-General serve five-year terms that run from January 1; Guterres's second expires December 31, 2026, so his successor starts January 1, 2027. Kalshi's[1] contracts close on January 5, 2027.
Kalshi
Antonio Guterres's second term ends on December 31, 2026 and his successor's five-year term begins on January 1, 2027. On 20 September 2026 Kalshi's market on who is confirmed had Rebeca Grynspan at 37%, Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett at 18% and Olara Otunnu at 10%.
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins77% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 77%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
The CFP schedule lists 'Rose Bowl Game presented by Prudential January 1, 2027 - TBD' among the 2026-27 quarterfinals; kick-off time not yet set.[1]
The Rose Bowl in Pasadena stages one of the four CFP quarterfinals on New Year's Day, with a top-four seed facing a first-round winner.
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins80% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 80%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
Visit Pasadena[1]: 'The 138th Rose Parade and 113th Rose Bowl Game will be held on January 1, 2027.'
Floral floats, marching bands and equestrian units follow the 5.5-mile route through Pasadena on New Year's Day under the 2027 theme, Welcome.
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins74% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 74%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 7 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins from 50% to 74% confidence
Gasgoo[1][3][5], 4 February 2026: GB 48001-2026 "was approved on January 28, 2026... and is scheduled to take effect on January 1, 2027."
China's mandatory standard GB 48001-2026 requires a mechanical release on every side door from 1 January 2027, effectively ending flush electronic-only door handles on cars sold there.
Threadneedle Street, Leadenhall Market, Bank, City of London, Greater London, England, EC2R 8AH, United KingdomPrudential Regulation Authority
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins74% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 74%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins from 50% to 74% confidence
Policy statement PS1/26: "The Basel 3.1 policy, rules, supervisory statements, and statements of policy will take effect on Friday 1 January 2027."[1]
The Prudential Regulation Authority's Basel 3.1 final rules take effect in the UK on 1 January 2027, a year later than first planned, with the market-risk internal model approach following on 1 January 2028.
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins78% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 78%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 7 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
CnEVPost[1], 3 July 2026: these vehicles "will no longer be exempt from the vehicle and vessel tax from January 1, 2027", per a joint statement by the Ministry of Finance, the State Taxation Administration and MIIT; announced 3 July 2026.
From 1 January 2027 plug-in hybrids, range extenders and electric commercial vehicles in China lose the annual vehicle and vessel tax exemption they have had since 2012; battery-electric passenger cars stay untaxed.
Negyedik utca, Vasgyári újtelep, Újdiósgyőr, Miskolc, Miskolci járás, Borsod-Abaúj-Zemplén, North Hungary, Great Plain and North, 3533, HungaryNestlé
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins79% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 79%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
Given as scheduled: Nestlé Hungária's release of 11 September 2026 says "2027. január 1-jétől a Vimpex cégcsoport ... folytatja tovább az édességgyártást a diósgyőri üzemben" (from 1 January 2027 the Vimpex group continues confectionery production at the Diósgyőr plant), Nestlé having said it ends production there in December 2026.[1]
Nestlé stops making hollow chocolate figures at its 220-worker Diósgyőr plant in Miskolc at the end of 2026, and Hungarian food wholesaler Vimpex takes the factory over from 1 January 2027, keeping at least a third of the staff.
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins75% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 75%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
Dakar's[1] own route announcement says "the route of Dakar 2027, which will take place from January 1 to 15 next year" was unveiled in Paris on 5 May 2026, and its site shows 01/01 > 01/15/2027 (GMT +3).
Dakar 2027, the 49th edition and the eighth in Saudi Arabia, runs 1-15 January 2027 as a loop starting and finishing in King Abdullah Economic City, with 5,320 km of timed special stages, the most of the Saudi era.
New York State Capitol Building, State Street, Center Square, City of Albany, Albany County, New York, 12203, United States
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins82% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 82%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
Fixed by the state constitution, Article XIII section 4: "The political year and legislative term shall begin on the first day of January"; the term follows the 3 November 2026 election.[1]
The winner of the 3 November election takes office on 1 January 2027, the day the state constitution starts the political year, for a four-year term. Governor Kathy Hochul is seeking re-election against Bruce Blakeman.
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins84% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 84%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
Trump on Truth Social, 24 Aug 2026: "On January First, 2027, Tariffs on all Cars, Trucks, both large and small, Automotive Parts, and Steel, will be increased to 50%"; no proclamation had been published as of 29 Sept, so the date rests on the President's announcement.[1]
President Trump has said US tariffs on cars, trucks, auto parts and steel from Canada will rise to 50% on 1 January 2027, doubling the 25% now charged on Canadian autos, after trade talks collapsed in August.
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins82% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 82%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
The day is an announced one, not a year-end placeholder: Putrajaya has held to a 1 January 2027 start since Transport Minister Anthony Loke said it was "confident RTS Link will start on January 1, 2027", and English Wikipedia still carries "Planned opening: 1 January 2027". The latest check-in keeps it there - AsiaOne[2], 4 April 2026: the RTS Link "is on track for opening in January 2027 despite the ongoing global energy crisis" - after an earlier Singapore target of passenger service by December 2026.
A new four-kilometre rail crossing over the Strait of Johor aims to cut the commute between Johor Bahru and Singapore from up to four hours to about six minutes.
Anderson Dam, Morgan Hill, Santa Clara County, California
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins88% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 88%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
Valley Water[1][3] says crews begin construction at the dam in early 2027; the exact day is not published, so the first of the month is used. No completion date is published (only "about seven years"), so none is set.
Valley Water awarded the $1.88 billion construction contract for the Anderson Dam Seismic Retrofit Project on July 24, 2026. Crews begin work at the dam in early 2027 and expect about seven years of construction. The total cost is about $2.8 billion.