Estimated: October 23 raw Kalshi[1][2] order-book snapshot implies a leading adjacent band of US$108.99–110.99/bbl. Contract-defined October30 17:00EDT is the observation, not the later settlement buffer; no realized October value is available.
Kalshi
October 23 Brent forecast: leading adjacent implied band US$108.99–110.99/bbl; nearest 50% threshold US$108.99 at 53%. Estimated dollar turnover US$88,276.95; October 30 observation is still ahead.
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