The White House, 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue NW, Washington, DC
SCHEDULED72% CONFIDENCEFederal law sets Election Day on the Tuesday after the first Monday in November, which falls on November 7 in 2028.[1]
Kalshi
Polymarket
Election Day for the 2028 U.S. presidential race is November 7, 2028, and Kalshi's winner market was still wide open on 20 September 2026: J.D. Vance led at 22%, followed by Jon Ossoff at 12% and Marco Rubio at 9.6%. The winner takes office on January 20, 2029.
ESTIMATED63% CONFIDENCEGiven as a target, not a fixed date, per the pin description: "…e high-speed line down the I-15 median, aiming to run Las Vegas to Rancho Cucamonga in about two hou…"
A 350 km/h private high-speed line down the I-15 median, aiming to run Las Vegas to Rancho Cucamonga in about two hours. Estimated date.
ESTIMATED51% CONFIDENCEGiven as a target, not a fixed date, per en.wikipedia.org[1]: "…ne is currently under construction, and projected to be completed by 2028.[citation needed] New line…"
A 35 km fully underground east-west line beneath Lima, cutting a two-hour surface trip to about 45 minutes. Estimated date.
ESTIMATED50% CONFIDENCEClinicalTrials.gov[1] lists 2028-12-11 as the estimated primary completion date; a sponsor's estimate, and trials of this size routinely slip.
Pfizer's phase 3 trial of C.Difficile Vaccine in clostridoides difficile associated disease reaches primary completion, the point at which the last participant's primary outcome is measured. The trial enrolled 32,500 participants. The purpose of the study is to learn about how effective, safe, and tolerable the Clostridioides difficile (C. difficile) vaccine is in decreasing the number of C. difficile infections (pCDI) in adults 65 years of age or older. The participants will receive either the C. difficile vaccine or placebo (saline). A placebo does not contain any active ingredients. The vaccines will be given as a shot into the upper arm muscle. This study looks at the number of diarrhea (loose stools) events related to a C. difficile infection, so the length of the study can change. If these events happen quickly, the study may finish sooner; if they happen slowly, it could take longer. Sometimes, the study might stop early if the vaccine clearly does not work. Participants will stay in the study until enough events have occurred to answer the main question. On average, each person is expected to take part for
ESTIMATED50% CONFIDENCEClinicalTrials.gov[1] lists 2028-12-30 as the estimated primary completion date; a sponsor's estimate, and trials of this size routinely slip.
Pfizer's phase 3 trial of PG4 in pneumococcal disease reaches primary completion, the point at which the last participant's primary outcome is measured. The trial enrolled 2,400 participants. The purpose of this study is to learn about the safety of a new pneumococcal vaccine and how the new pneumococcal vaccine helps to fight against germs that can cause pneumonia (lung infections), meningitis (brain infections), and otitis media (ear infections) in infants when compared to the pneumococcal vaccine that is currently in use, 20vPnC (Prevnar 20®). This study will test if the new pneumococcal vaccine is as safe as the one that is currently in use. This new vaccine can possibly provide additional protection against germs that cause pneumococcal disease that are not included in the vaccines that are currently given to infants. Pneumococcal disease includes a variety of infections caused by a specific germ, Streptococcus pneumoniae. There are two groups in this study. All participants will be assigned to one of the two groups. This study is seeking participants who are: \- infants
Palm Jebel Ali, Dubai, United Arab EmiratesNakheel
ESTIMATED68% CONFIDENCEGiven as scheduled, per the source[1]: "completion targeted for the fourth quarter of 2028."
Dubai developer Nakheel had local authorities approve a new master plan for Palm Jebel Ali, reviving the shelved artificial island as a bigger sequel to Palm Jumeirah with the first villas due from 2027 and the project targeted for completion at the end of 2028.
ESTIMATED65% CONFIDENCERio Tinto[1] expects Oyu Tolgoi to produce around 500,000 tonnes of copper a year on average from 2028 to 2036 across the open pit and underground. Only the year is given, so the pin takes its last day.
Rio Tinto's Oyu Tolgoi in the Gobi is expected to average around 500,000 tonnes of copper a year from 2028, on its way to being the world's fourth-largest copper mine.
ESTIMATED50% CONFIDENCEThe airport's own project page says the new Terminal 1 opens "19 [gates] in 2025 and the remaining 11 by 2028", giving a year rather than a day, so it sits at the end of that year.[1]
The second phase of San Diego International Airport's $3.8 billion Terminal 1 replacement adds the last 11 gates, two lounges, nine restaurants and three shops. Phase 1 opened with 19 gates in 2025 and phase 2 went to work that October.
ESTIMATED56% CONFIDENCEA target year, per SPA's[1] copy of Aramco's[3] 30 June 2024 release: the expansion 'will ... raise its total capacity by an additional 3.15 billion standard cubic feet per day (bscfd) by 2028' - a bare year, so its last day.
Around 4,000 km of new pipelines and 17 compression trains are to add 3.15 billion cubic feet a day to the network that carries gas across Saudi Arabia, built under 15 contracts worth about $8.8 billion.
ESTIMATED68% CONFIDENCEThe release says only "Atlas to be deployed at HMGMA by 2028 for sequencing tasks", so this takes the last day of that year as the bound the wording gives.[1]
Hyundai's CES 2026 robotics strategy commits Boston Dynamics' Atlas to parts-sequencing work at Metaplant America in Georgia by 2028, after the humanoids are trained at the group's Robot Metaplant Application Center; assembly tasks are to follow by 2030.
ESTIMATED74% CONFIDENCEYear only, per boston.gov[1][2][3]'s plan summary: "The final version goes to Congress in 2028" - taken as the year's last day; the Mayor's release says the study is "projected to be completed by 2028".
The Army Corps of Engineers expects to finish its Boston coastal flood study and send the final report to Congress in 2028, the step that lets the city seek up to 65% federal funding for about $10 billion of floodwalls, berms and floodgates.
Quebec is replacing the perpetually troubled retractable roof of Montreal’s 1976 Olympic Stadium with a new fixed structure, targeting a 2028 reopening.
ESTIMATED50% CONFIDENCEThe report says the second phase from Vila Formosa to Penha has "service expected to begin in 2028", a year rather than a fixed day.[1]
The 8.3 km eastern extension adds eight stations from Vila Prudente out to Penha and will make Line 2-Green the network's longest at 23 km. The first four stations, Orfanato, Santa Clara, Anália Franco and Vila Formosa, are due in 2027, and the São Paulo state government puts the whole extension at R$15 billion.
ESTIMATED62% CONFIDENCEA target, per the source[1]: the tower "is set for completion in December 2028", with no official opening date yet announced.
Dubai developer Muraba and Pritzker Prize-winner RCR Arquitectes are building Muraba Veil, a 380m tower just 22.5m wide wrapped in a porous steel mesh, among the world's skinniest skyscrapers.
ESTIMATED67% CONFIDENCEThe official website only gives a 2028 theatrical release, so the pin sits at the end of that year.[1]
Sword Art Online returns to cinemas with Integral Domain, an original movie from A-1 Pictures and Psyde Kick Studio that brings Kirito and Asuna back, due in Japanese theaters in 2028.
Warringah Freeway, Cammeray, Sydney, NSW, Australia
SCHEDULED80% CONFIDENCEGiven as scheduled, per the source[1]: "Western Harbour Tunnel remaining on track to open to traffic in 2028".
Sydney's Western Harbour Tunnel, redesigned mid-build from a cut-and-cover crossing to twin bored tunnels, is on track to open beneath the harbour in 2028.
ESTIMATED12 months late71% CONFIDENCEOnly a year is given: Taiwan's MOEA says the fab is "scheduled to start installing equipment and come online in 2028", and C.C. Wei said on the 16 April 2026 call that "commercial production is scheduled to begin in 2028" - so the year's last day, estimated.[1]
JASM's second fab in Kikuyo, Kumamoto - switched from 6nm-class chips to TSMC's 3nm process - is due to start volume production in 2028 at 15,000 12-inch wafers a month, making Japan's first 3nm chips about a year after the end-2027 start TSMC first promised.
Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport, 3400 E Sky Harbor Blvd, Phoenix, AZ 85034City of Phoenix
ESTIMATED50% CONFIDENCEThe airport's own schedule lists "Construction 2029 - 2033" with no start date, so the pin uses the start of 2029.[1]
Sky Harbor's West Terminal, the airport's first new terminal since Terminal 4 opened in 1990, is scheduled to go into construction in 2029 and open in 2033, with the number of concourses and gates still to be decided. The airport puts the likely cost at around $4.5 billion, paid for with passenger facility charges, bonds and airport funding rather than tax dollars.
ESTIMATED50% CONFIDENCEThe Ministry of Health says the campus "has commenced construction works and will open progressively from 2029", giving a year rather than a day.[1]
The Eastern General Hospital Campus begins opening on a site next to Bedok North MRT station, bounded by Bedok Reservoir Road and Bedok North Road. It pairs an acute general hospital offering emergency, inpatient and specialist outpatient services with a co-located community hospital for rehabilitation and sub-acute care, relieving Changi General Hospital in Singapore's east.
ESTIMATED56% CONFIDENCEGiven as a target, not a fixed date, per en.wikipedia.org[1]: "…and construction in July 2023, with the expected completion and first light set for March 2029.[13][…"
A 39-metre segmented mirror in Chile's Atacama, collecting more light than all existing 8-10 metre telescopes combined. Estimated date.
Reichstag building, Platz der Republik 1, Berlin, Germany
ESTIMATED60% CONFIDENCENo date has been set. Kalshi[1] dates its event to March 25, 2029, the last day the Basic Law's 46-to-48-month window allows after the current Bundestag first sat on March 25, 2025; a snap election would come earlier.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The Bundestag elected in February 2025 first sat on March 25, 2025, and the Basic Law requires a new election 46 to 48 months later - March 25, 2029 at the latest. On 20 September 2026 Kalshi's winner market had the AfD at 85% and the CDU/CSU at 12%.
DELAYED4.5 years late56% CONFIDENCEDate has moved, per the source[1]: "telescope first light" is "now planned for March 2029," after "several of the telescope contracts suffered delays."
The European Southern Observatory's Extremely Large Telescope, being built atop a Chilean mountain by 16 partner nations, is now targeting first light in March 2029 after repeated delays.
ESTIMATED68% CONFIDENCEESO[1][2] states the ELT "is now set to make its first test observations at the beginning of 2029, with 'telescope first light' expected in March 2029". Only the month is given, so the pin takes its last day.
ESO's 39-metre Extremely Large Telescope takes its first test observations from Cerro Armazones in March 2029, with scientific first light following in December 2030.
