ESTIMATEDDate confidence: ESTIMATEDA target, not a fixed dateHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all ESTIMATED pins65% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 65%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins from 50% to 74% confidencein 9 days
Estimated: On October 27, 2026 Kalshi[1][3] bid/ask midpoints implied about 1% before November 1, 12% before November 16, 87% before December 1 and 93% before January 1, 2027. The November 16 to December 1 interval is now the largest quoted increase (about 75 points), so the modal announcement window has moved from early November to the second half of the month. Active contracts have traded roughly 2.3 million contracts in total; this is a contract count, not reported cash turnover. A qualifying SEC effectiveness declaration, IPO pricing or assigned ticker can resolve the contract before shares begin trading. Kalshi
Kalshi
October 27 Kalshi midpoints imply 87% for a qualifying IPO confirmation before December 1. The modal announcement window is November 16 to December 1; it is not a fixed listing day.
