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- €1.5B0.63
- $843M0.60
Two SpaceX Starships Dock in Orbit
预估可信度 69%1.3年后No docking has been scheduled. Polymarket’s[2] dated ladder puts 3.2% on it happening by the end of 2026 and 51.5% by the end of 2027, so 2027 carries about 48 points against 3 for 2026; a year-only date takes its last day. Kalshi’s[1][3] "before 2028" market prices the whole question at 69%.KalshiPolymarketDocking two Starships is the step that makes orbital propellant transfer — and with it Artemis and Mars — possible. On 20 September 2026 Kalshi gave it a 69% chance before 2028, while Polymarket’s dated ladder put only 3.2% on it happening by the end of 2026 against 51.5% by the end of 2027.0.59Falcon 9 launches Crew-13
SpaceX Crew-13 is the thirteenth crewed operational flight of a Crew Dragon spacecraft to the International Space Station as part of NASA's Commercial Crew Program. Lifts off from Space Launch Complex 40, Cape Canaveral SFS, FL, USA to Low Earth Orbit. The booster is due to land at Landing Zone 40.0.59- $150B0.57
Starship 发射 Starlink Group 31-1（Starship 第14次飞行）
已排期可信度 79%5天后SpaceX[1]，2026年9月22日的表述：“现计划最早于9月28日（周一）发射 Starship 第14次飞行，视监管批准情况而定。75分钟的发射窗口将于中部时间上午7:15开启。”此前已从9月22日推迟过一次，且 FAA 许可仍未落实。KalshiPolymarket两级式 Starship 运载火箭的第14次试飞。这是 Starship V3 的第3次飞行，也是 Starship 首次将卫星（一批名为 Starlink Group 31-1 的星链卫星）部署到稳定的近地轨道。 飞船预计在距地约275公里的高度飞行，用近10小时绕地球约6圈，计划在智利以西的太平洋海域溅落。 第14次飞行中助推器的主要测试目标，是成功完成发射、上升、级间分离、回推点火以及在墨西哥湾离岸落点的着陆点火。 Starship 将首次把26颗 Starlink V3 卫星送入轨道，旨在大幅提升网络容量和用户速率。每颗 Starlink V3 卫星可为星座增加 1 Tbps 的容量。从美国得州 SpaceX Starbase 的2号轨道发射台升空，前往近地轨道。助推器计划在墨西哥湾着陆。0.57- 0.56
TONIKAWA: Over The Moon For You ~Uniform~ Premieres
TONIKAWA: Over The Moon For You ~Uniform~ premieres, a one-off OVA following newlyweds Nasa and Tsukasa Arisugawa as Tsukasa finally tries on a school uniform, and a secretary outfit, for Nasa's benefit years after the high-school romance the two never had.0.56- $3.4B0.56
H3-24 launches Martian Moon eXplorer (MMX)
MMX is a Japanese scientific mission to land on Phobos, one of the two moons of Mars, to collect samples before bringing them back to Earth. The mission includes a small French/German rover to explore the surface of Phobos. Lifts off from Yoshinobu Launch Complex LP-2, Tanegashima Space Center, Japan to Mars Orbit.0.56- 0.55
