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Falcon 9 launches Starlink Group 15-25
预估延期10天可信度 60%17天后Spaceflight Now's[2] schedule (checked 2026-09-23): "Falcon 9 Starlink 15-25 - 'TBD' launch time on October 10 | SLC-4E, Vandenberg"; rocketlaunch.org gives October 10, 4:00 PM UTC. No firm time yet.A batch of 27 satellites for the Starlink mega-constellation - SpaceX's project for space-based Internet communication system. Lifts off from Space Launch Complex 4E, Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA to Low Earth Orbit. The booster is due to land at Of Course I Still Love You.0.67Starship 发射 Starlink Group 31-1（Starship 第14次飞行）
已排期可信度 79%5天后SpaceX[1]，2026年9月22日的表述：“现计划最早于9月28日（周一）发射 Starship 第14次飞行，视监管批准情况而定。75分钟的发射窗口将于中部时间上午7:15开启。”此前已从9月22日推迟过一次，且 FAA 许可仍未落实。KalshiPolymarket两级式 Starship 运载火箭的第14次试飞。这是 Starship V3 的第3次飞行，也是 Starship 首次将卫星（一批名为 Starlink Group 31-1 的星链卫星）部署到稳定的近地轨道。 飞船预计在距地约275公里的高度飞行，用近10小时绕地球约6圈，计划在智利以西的太平洋海域溅落。 第14次飞行中助推器的主要测试目标，是成功完成发射、上升、级间分离、回推点火以及在墨西哥湾离岸落点的着陆点火。 Starship 将首次把26颗 Starlink V3 卫星送入轨道，旨在大幅提升网络容量和用户速率。每颗 Starlink V3 卫星可为星座增加 1 Tbps 的容量。从美国得州 SpaceX Starbase 的2号轨道发射台升空，前往近地轨道。助推器计划在墨西哥湾着陆。0.67- 0.66
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The Hawaii Mars Flying Boat Retires to a British Columbia Museum
已确认可信度 83%2.1年前The Aviationist[4] and Skies Mag[3] reported that Hawaii Mars made its final retirement flight to the British Columbia Aviation Museum on August 11, 2024.On August 11, 2024, the Martin JRM Mars flying boat "Hawaii Mars" made its final flight, escorted by Snowbirds jets, ending 78 years of service as the world’s largest water bomber.0.64- $843M0.63
SpaceX Closes Out Its 2026 Launch Count
已排期可信度 75%99天后An annual count is settled when the year ends: Kalshi[1] expires the 2026 event on December 31, 2026 and Polymarket[2] closes its version at 04:59 UTC on January 1, 2027, so the date follows the market’s terms rather than an estimate.KalshiPolymarketKalshi settles its annual SpaceX launch tally at the end of 2026. On 20 September 2026 above 120 launches was all but certain at 97%, above 140 traded at 68% and above 150 at 11%. Polymarket’s bucketed version agreed, putting 140–159 at 75.9%.0.63Falcon 9 launches Crew-13
SpaceX Crew-13 is the thirteenth crewed operational flight of a Crew Dragon spacecraft to the International Space Station as part of NASA's Commercial Crew Program. Lifts off from Space Launch Complex 40, Cape Canaveral SFS, FL, USA to Low Earth Orbit. The booster is due to land at Landing Zone 40.0.62- €1.6B0.62
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