Tianhe Sports Center, Tiyu East Road, Tianhenan, Tianhe District, Guangzhou City, Guangdong, 501620, ChinaChinese Athletics Association
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins81% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 81%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
The Guangzhou municipal government's visitor site announces the marathon for 20 December 2026 with registration from 2 to 11 September, and race calendars list the same Sunday.[1]
Guangzhou's marathon is set for Sunday 20 December 2026 with a 30,000-runner quota, a start at Tianhe Sports Center, a finish at Haixinsha and a 180-yuan entry fee.
1, Cannondale Way, South Wilton, Wilton, Western Connecticut Planning Region, Connecticut, 06897, United StatesCannondale
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins88% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 88%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
Stated: the October 21 WARN letter quoted by Bicycle Retailer[1][3] schedules first separations on December 21,2026, with phases through December 31,2027. Company statement separately says Wilton operations wind down by mid-2027. Event dates cover the separation window, not an assertion the office remains operating through the final separation.
Cannondale’s Wilton office transition affects 143 listed roles, including remote workers. First separations are scheduled for December 21,2026; office operations wind down by mid-2027, while separations may continue through December 31,2027.
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins84% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 84%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
TVmaze's[1][2] forward schedule gives 2026-12-24 as the announced premiere on Netflix.
After landing her dream job in Paris, Chicago marketing exec Emily Cooper embraces her adventurous new life while juggling work, friends and romance. Season 6 starts on Netflix.
Snapdragon Stadium, 1, Stadium Way, Mission City, Serra Mesa, San Diego, San Diego County, California, 92182, United StatesPoinsettia Bowl
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins82% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 82%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 6 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
Scheduled: the bowl's own site gives "12.23.26 KICK-OFF 4:30PM PST" at Snapdragon Stadium, and the organisers' release says it "kicks off Wednesday, December 23 at 4:30 p.m." (PST, so 00:30Z on 24 December).[1]
The 13th SDCCU Poinsettia Bowl, the first since 2016, kicks off at 4:30 p.m. on 23 December 2026 at Snapdragon Stadium and airs on The CW.
1100 Avenue Of The Americas, New York City, New York, United StatesHBO
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins81% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 81%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
TVmaze's[1][2] forward schedule gives 2026-12-25 as the announced premiere on HBO.
There is nothing special about Harry Potter - at least that's what his Aunt Petunia always says. On his 11th birthday, a letter of admittance to Hogwarts School of Witchcraft and Wizardry opens up a hidden world for Harry: one of fun, friendship and magic. But with this new adventure comes great risk as Harry is forced to face a dangerous enemy from his past. Season 1 starts on HBO.
Cruising Yacht Club of Australia, 1, New Beach Road, Darling Point, Eastern Suburbs, Sydney, New South Wales, 2027, AustraliaCruising Yacht Club of Australia
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins81% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 81%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
The Cruising Yacht Club of Australia's event page gives a start at 13:00 on Saturday 26 December 2026; the finish window of several days is an estimate.[1]
The 628-nautical-mile Rolex Sydney Hobart, run by the Cruising Yacht Club of Australia since 1945, starts at 13:00 on Saturday 26 December 2026 on Sydney Harbour.
Snapdragon Stadium, 1, Stadium Way, Mission City, Serra Mesa, San Diego, San Diego County, California, 92182, United StatesHoliday Bowl
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins78% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 78%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
Scheduled: the Holiday Bowl's[1][4] site says "47th Annual Holiday Bowl Set For December 28 - December 28, 2026 • 2:00PM PT • Snapdragon Stadium" (PST, so 22:00Z).
San Diego's 47th Holiday Bowl is set for 2 p.m. on Monday 28 December 2026 at Snapdragon Stadium, back in December after last season's game became the first played in January.
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins88% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 88%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
California EDD’s current WARN workbook lists 159 permanent layoffs, notice/receipt October27,2026 and effective December29,2026 for Walt Disney Parks & Resorts US, Inc. at1401 Flower Street, Glendale.[1]
A California WARN filing lists 159 permanent job cuts at Disney’s Glendale site effective December 29, 2026. It does not identify specific roles or cancelled projects.
5Market impact 5/10Kalshi API (opened): Astra 6.1+ release before 13 Nov now bids 22-23c and before 31 Dec 96-97c (pin text quotes the 7 Nov 52-54%, stale); a frontier release moves AI-compute and OpenAI-partner names.Affects: NVDA, MSFT, ORCL, AMD, AVGOPredicted
1455 3rd Street, Mission Bay, San Francisco, California 94158, United StatesOpenAI
ESTIMATEDDate confidence: ESTIMATEDA target, not a fixed dateHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all ESTIMATED pins65% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 65%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins from 50% to 74% confidence
Estimated: observed 12 November 2026 00:41 UTC, the before-November 13 contract was 22-23% (last 24%) and before-December 31 was 96-97% (last 97%), so December is now the first majority-probability window; 30 December is its last eligible day, not an announced launch date. The event reported about 681,153 contracts across all deadlines; contract counts are not dollar cash turnover.[1]
Kalshi
On November 11, 2026 (Pacific; 00:41 UTC on 12 November), Kalshi's Yes bid/ask for an OpenAI Astra 6.1-or-newer public release before November 13 was 22–23%, down from 52–54% on November 7, versus 96–97% before December 31. The release date remains unannounced; these are forecast windows.
2788 San Tomas Expressway, Santa Clara, California 95051, United StatesNVIDIA
ESTIMATEDDate confidence: ESTIMATEDA target, not a fixed dateHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all ESTIMATED pins65% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 65%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins from 50% to 74% confidence
Estimated: Nvidia's board has only just started a search and gave no timetable. The date is the earliest deadline among the related markets (Polymarket's[2][3] new-CEO-named-by-December-31-2026 contract); Kalshi's[1] own market runs to January 1, 2029. Odds are readings of November 12, 2026.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Kalshi's next-CEO-of-Nvidia market, listed November 11, 2026, gave Ian Buck about 42% and interim CEO Colette Kress about 20% on November 12, on about $0.5 million traded, hours before Nvidia announced Jensen Huang had resigned. A permanent successor must be named by January 1, 2029 for the market to settle.
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins78% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 78%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
A year-high market is decided when the year ends: Kalshi[1] expires the event at 05:00 UTC on January 1, 2027, which makes December 31, 2026 the last day it can be settled on. The date is fixed by the market’s own terms, not estimated.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Kalshi’s year-high ladder for Ethereum settles on the highest price ETH touches in 2026. On 20 September 2026, with ether near $2,600, traders gave $3,500 a 30% chance, $4,000 22% and $5,000 9%. Polymarket’s equivalent book was a little more optimistic, pricing a touch of $3,000 at 59.5%.
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins75% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 75%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
An annual count is settled when the year ends: Kalshi[1] expires the 2026 event on December 31, 2026 and Polymarket[2] closes its version at 04:59 UTC on January 1, 2027, so the date follows the market’s terms rather than an estimate.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Kalshi settles its annual SpaceX launch tally at the end of 2026. On 20 September 2026 above 120 launches was all but certain at 97%, above 140 traded at 68% and above 150 at 11%. Polymarket’s bucketed version agreed, putting 140–159 at 75.9%.
Allegiant Stadium, 3333 Al Davis Way, Las Vegas, Nevada 89118, United StatesESPN Events
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins83% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 83%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
Las Vegas Bowl: "Las Vegas Bowl XXXV will be played Thursday, Dec. 31, 2026, at 12:45 p.m. PT (3:45 p.m. ET) at Allegiant Stadium[5] and televised by ESPN."
The 35th Las Vegas Bowl puts an SEC team against a Big Ten, Big 12, ACC or Oregon State/Washington State opponent at 12:45 p.m. on 31 December, live on ESPN.
Verkhovna Rada, Hrushevskoho Street 5, Kyiv, Ukraine
ESTIMATEDDate confidence: ESTIMATEDA target, not a fixed dateHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all ESTIMATED pins65% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 65%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins from 50% to 74% confidence
No date is set for a ceasefire. The pin takes the highest-priced rung of Polymarket's[1][3] ladder, December 31, 2026 at 15%; the earlier October 31 rung is at 5%.
Polymarket
Polymarket
On 20 September 2026 Polymarket's ladder on a ceasefire that takes effect and holds for ten straight days gave December 31, 2026 a 15% chance, and October 31 only 5%. Ukraine signing any written peace instrument with Russia before 2027 was at 11%, and Kalshi put a first in-person Putin-Zelenskyy meeting before 2027 at 7%.
Sites Reservoir, Glenn and Colusa Counties, California
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins88% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 88%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 6 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
The Authority says construction is scheduled to begin in 2026 and the reservoir to be operational at the end of 2033; both are years, so the last day of each is used. The water right was approved November 4, 2026 (announced by the Governor).[1]
The State Water Resources Control Board approved the final water right permit for Sites Reservoir, a proposed 1.5 million acre-foot offstream reservoir in Glenn and Colusa counties. The Sites Project Authority schedules construction to begin in 2026 and the reservoir to be operational at the end of 2033.
Sony Pictures Studios, 10202 West Washington Boulevard, Culver City, CA 90232, USA
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins72% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 72%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins from 50% to 74% confidence
The 2026 calendar year closes on 31 December, and Polymarket's[1] own rules tie settlement to Box Office Mojo's[2] 2026 calendar-gross table once that day's data is available.
Polymarket
Polymarket's $17m market on the year's biggest film was close to done on 20 September 2026: Spider-Man: Brand New Day was priced at 94%, with Avengers: Doomsday a distant 4% and everything else at a cent or less. It resolves on Box Office Mojo's 2026 domestic calendar gross once 31 December's numbers land.
Presidential Office Building, 122 Chongqing South Road, Taipei, Taiwan
ESTIMATEDDate confidence: ESTIMATEDA target, not a fixed dateHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all ESTIMATED pins63% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 63%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins from 50% to 74% confidence
Nothing is scheduled: the pin is dated to the market's own deadline, December 31, 2026, the last day the contract can resolve Yes, and the market page shows that only a 4% chance.[1]
Polymarket
Polymarket
Polymarket's contract on China commencing a military offensive against any inhabited territory Taiwan administers, on or before December 31, 2026, showed a 4% chance on 20 September 2026 — its own note put the implied probability of no invasion at 95.8%. A separate market on any direct China-Taiwan military clash over the same window showed 6%.
ESTIMATEDDate confidence: ESTIMATEDA target, not a fixed dateHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all ESTIMATED pins60% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 60%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 2 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins from 50% to 74% confidence
No casting date has been announced. Polymarket's[1] market runs to 31 December 2026 and prices a one-in-five chance that no Bond is named by then, so the end of 2026 is a market-implied estimate rather than a scheduled event.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Amazon MGM's search for the seventh James Bond is one of the most heavily traded entertainment markets on either exchange. On 20 September 2026 Polymarket had Jack Lowden at 42% and Callum Turner at 20% - but also a 20% chance no Bond is named by 31 December 2026 at all; Kalshi's longer market had Lowden in the mid-40s and Turner in the high 30s.
CONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 1 reference, the source included, supports the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
The Navy Pier[1] page lists New Year's Eve fireworks on Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 p.m.
A free midnight fireworks show over the lakefront skyline.
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins75% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 75%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
The market is settled on the ranking as it stands on December 31, 2026 and expires that day at 15:00 UTC, so the date is fixed by the market’s own terms.[1]
Kalshi
Kalshi
Kalshi settles its year-end ranking market on which lab holds the top AI model on December 31, 2026 — the exchange’s biggest AI book at 11.5M contracts. On 20 September 2026 Claude led at 71.5%, ahead of ChatGPT at 13.6%, Gemini at 8.9% and Grok at 4.1%.
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins77% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 77%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
Given as scheduled, per the source[1]: "Phase 4, the encapsulation and burial of areas filled with spent fuel, will begin in 2026."
Finland's Posiva began drilling the first deposition hole at the Onkalo repository, a step toward becoming the world's first facility to permanently bury spent nuclear fuel.
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins82% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 82%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
The day is an announced one, not a year-end placeholder: Putrajaya has held to a 1 January 2027 start since Transport Minister Anthony Loke said it was "confident RTS Link will start on January 1, 2027", and English Wikipedia still carries "Planned opening: 1 January 2027". The latest check-in keeps it there - AsiaOne[2], 4 April 2026: the RTS Link "is on track for opening in January 2027 despite the ongoing global energy crisis" - after an earlier Singapore target of passenger service by December 2026.
A new four-kilometre rail crossing over the Strait of Johor aims to cut the commute between Johor Bahru and Singapore from up to four hours to about six minutes.
United Nations Headquarters, 405 East 42nd Street, New York, New York
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
UN Secretaries-General serve five-year terms that run from January 1; Guterres's second expires December 31, 2026, so his successor starts January 1, 2027. Kalshi's[1] contracts close on January 5, 2027.
Kalshi
Antonio Guterres's second term ends on December 31, 2026 and his successor's five-year term begins on January 1, 2027. On 20 September 2026 Kalshi's market on who is confirmed had Rebeca Grynspan at 37%, Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett at 18% and Olara Otunnu at 10%.
Google Antigravity Remote Control Launches10 views+800% AIMountain View
Einride Orders 500 Tesla Semis, the Biggest Semi Order to Date12 views+200% Automotive
Anderson Dam Seismic Retrofit: Valley Water rebuilds Anderson Dam, about $2.8B9 views+700% InfrastructureMorgan Hill
Google Antigravity Voice Mode Launches10 views+300% AIMountain View
Google Antigravity Launches11 views+167% AIMountain View
Cursor Agent SDK Launches12 views+100% AISan Francisco
Italy FIMI Top of the Music year-end #1 singles (2017–2026)7 views MusicMilano
Cursor Voice Chat with Agents Launches8 views+600% AISan Francisco
Google Antigravity Custom Agents Launch9 views+250% AIMountain View
Cursor Comes to JetBrains IDEs9 views+250% AISan Francisco
M 6.4 earthquake strikes near Lata, Solomon Islands10 views+133% DisasterLata
Cursor Composer 2 Released10 views+133% AIEstimated: San Francisco
ServiceNow Starts a Third Round of 2026 Layoffs in the US, UK and India LabourSanta Clara
SUSE Tells Staff It Will Cut About 10% of Its Workforce, Citing AI and Automation LabourNuremberg
NiCE Cuts About 5% of Its Global Workforce, Around 500 Jobs LabourRa'anana 4310602
Circle Discloses a 5% Workforce Cut With a $9.1 Million Restructuring Charge LabourNew York
South Africa TOSAC & Spotify annual #1 singles (2018–2026) MusicJohannesburg
Taiwan KKBOX Mandarin Yearly Singles #1s (2017–2026) MusicTaipei City
Singapore Official Chart and RIAS year-end #1 singles (2017–2026) MusicSingapore
Sweden Sverigetopplistan year-end #1 singles (2017–2025) MusicStockholm
New Zealand Recorded Music NZ Official Top 40 year-end #1s (2017–2026) MusicAuckland
Nigeria TurnTable Top 100 year-end #1 singles (2018–2026) MusicLagos
Mexico Monitor Latino Top 100 annual #1 singles (2017–2025) MusicGuadalajara
South Korea Circle Digital Chart year-end #1 singles (2017–2026) MusicSeoul
