Chronopin: upcoming release dates, events and other important dates

Twenty years after it was announced, the Guggenheim Abu Dhabi opens on 11 December 2026 as the largest museum in the Guggenheim family - about 80,000 square metres, against roughly a quarter of that in New York. Frank Gehry arranged it around a single tall atrium with galleries threaded between ten sculptural cones, nine sheathed in stainless steel mesh and one in onyx and glass, so the roofline reads as a cluster of towers from across the Culture District.

The third Minior Shower, 11-16 December 2026, is the one where a core colour debuts in each hemisphere.

Tyson Fury and Anthony Joshua meet at Cardiff's Principality Stadium on Friday 11 December, with the main event due in the early hours of Saturday to suit US television. Turki Alalshikh confirmed the all-British heavyweight fight on 24 September, and Netflix will show it worldwide.

Nike’s “Purple Venom” colorway of Caitlin Clark’s Caitlin 1 signature basketball shoe goes on sale December 12 for $140 in adult sizes.

The holiday Air Jordan 11 brings back the 'Space Jam' for the fourth time, with a No. 23 heel and Varsity Royal Jumpman, reported at $235 for December 12.

Tamiya's end-of-year Mini 4WD event, held indoors on both days with two circuits and points that win prizes, runs 12-13 December 2026 at Tsumagoi Resort Saino-Sato in Kakegawa.

Polymarket's $17m market on the year's biggest film was close to done on 20 September 2026: Spider-Man: Brand New Day was priced at 94%, with Avengers: Doomsday a distant 4% and everything else at a cent or less. It resolves on Box Office Mojo's 2026 domestic calendar gross once 31 December's numbers land.

Polymarket's contract on China commencing a military offensive against any inhabited territory Taiwan administers, on or before December 31, 2026, showed a 4% chance on 20 September 2026 — its own note put the implied probability of no invasion at 95.8%. A separate market on any direct China-Taiwan military clash over the same window showed 6%.

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Kalshi’s year-high ladder for Ethereum settles on the highest price ETH touches in 2026. On 20 September 2026, with ether near $2,600, traders gave $3,500 a 30% chance, $4,000 22% and $5,000 9%. Polymarket’s equivalent book was a little more optimistic, pricing a touch of $3,000 at 59.5%.

Amazon MGM's search for the seventh James Bond is one of the most heavily traded entertainment markets on either exchange. On 20 September 2026 Polymarket had Jack Lowden at 42% and Callum Turner at 20% - but also a 20% chance no Bond is named by 31 December 2026 at all; Kalshi's longer market had Lowden in the mid-40s and Turner in the high 30s.

On 20 September 2026 Polymarket's ladder on a ceasefire that takes effect and holds for ten straight days gave December 31, 2026 a 15% chance, and October 31 only 5%. Ukraine signing any written peace instrument with Russia before 2027 was at 11%, and Kalshi put a first in-person Putin-Zelenskyy meeting before 2027 at 7%.

Five Points Development's slender 262 Fifth Avenue condo tower topped out in Manhattan's NoMad district in 2024 and is on track to open in 2026, drawing criticism for blocking classic views of the nearby Empire State Building.

On December 31, 2026 Polymarket settles who officially holds Venezuela's head of state office. Acting president Delcy Rodríguez was sworn in on January 5 after U.S. troops captured Nicolás Maduro, and both still claim it: on 20 September 2026 the market's outcome row put Maduro at 47% and showed no percentage at all beside Rodríguez, only a 48¢ Buy Yes price.