- Start
- Nov 1, 202490% CONFIDENCEfrom the source
- End
- Nov 1, 202490% CONFIDENCEfrom the source
October 2024 Jobs Report: Strikes and Hurricanes Hold Payrolls to 12,000 Four Days Before the Election
- Total nonfarm payroll employment was essentially unchanged in October, up 12,000, against an average monthly gain of 194,000 over the prior 12 months[1]
- The unemployment rate held at 4.1%, with 7.0 million people unemployed[1]
- Average hourly earnings rose 13 cents, or 0.4%, to $35.46, up 4.0% on the year[1]
- August was revised down 81,000 and September down 31,000[1]
- Health care added 52,000 jobs and government 40,000, while manufacturing lost 46,000, largely from strike activity, and temporary help services lost 49,000[1]
- BLS noted that Hurricane Milton struck during the October survey period but that the national unemployment rate showed no discernible impact[1]
- Polymarket's October payrolls market resolved to the <100k bracket, with about $117 thousand traded[3]
References 383% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 83%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
The first entry is always the pin's source. Overall confidence is a weighted average of how firmly each reference supports the start and end times used above; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newest.
- [1]95%Employment Situation News Release - October 2024 - Bureau of Labor Statisticsbls.gov· Published Nov 1, 2024· Starts Nov 1, 2024 ✓· Ends Nov 1, 2024 ✓· 3% of score
BLS's[2] archived release is dated 1 November 2024 and marked for release at 8:30 a.m. ET, matching its Employment Situation calendar.
- [2]90%Schedule of Releases for the Employment Situation - Bureau of Labor Statisticsbls.gov· Added Oct 2, 2026· 48% of score
BLS's[1] release calendar for the Employment Situation, which lists the October 2024 report on 1 November 2024.
- [3]75%How many jobs added in October? - Polymarketpolymarket.com· Added Oct 2, 2026· 48% of score
Polymarket's event for the October 2024 jobs added resolved to <100k, matching the BLS[1][2] print, with about $117 thousand traded.
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