- Start
- Dec 6, 202490% CONFIDENCEfrom the source
- End
- Dec 6, 202490% CONFIDENCEfrom the source
November 2024 Jobs Report: Payrolls Rebound by 227,000 as Unemployment Ticks Up to 4.2%
- Nonfarm payrolls rose by 227,000 in November, against an average monthly gain of 186,000 over the prior 12 months[1]
- The unemployment rate was 4.2%, up from 3.7% a year earlier, with 7.1 million people unemployed[1]
- Average hourly earnings rose 13 cents, or 0.4%, to $35.61, up 4.0% on the year[1]
- September was revised up 32,000 to +255,000 and October up 24,000 to +36,000, a combined gain of 56,000[1]
- Health care added 54,000 jobs, leisure and hospitality 53,000, government 33,000 and transportation equipment manufacturing 32,000, while retail trade lost 28,000[1]
- Kalshi's payrolls ladder for November resolved Yes up to "Above 200,000", with about 132 thousand contracts traded across its thresholds[3]
- Kalshi's unemployment ladder for November resolved Yes up to "Above 4.1%", with about 230 thousand contracts traded[4]
- Polymarket's November payrolls market resolved to the 200-250k bracket, with about $99 thousand traded[5]
References 582% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 82%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
The first entry is always the pin's source. Overall confidence is a weighted average of how firmly each reference supports the start and end times used above; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newest.
- [1]95%Employment Situation News Release - November 2024 - Bureau of Labor Statisticsbls.gov· Published Dec 6, 2024· Starts Dec 6, 2024 ✓· Ends Dec 6, 2024 ✓· 2% of score
BLS's[2] archived release is dated 6 December 2024 and marked for release at 8:30 a.m. ET, matching its Employment Situation calendar.
- [2]90%Schedule of Releases for the Employment Situation - Bureau of Labor Statisticsbls.gov· Added Oct 2, 2026· 25% of score
BLS's[1] release calendar for the Employment Situation, which lists the November 2024 report on 6 December 2024.
- [3]80%Jobs numbers in November 2024? - Kalshikalshi.com· Added Oct 2, 2026· 25% of score
Kalshi's[4] KXPAYROLLS market for November 2024 settled on the BLS[1][2] print, with its highest Yes threshold at "Above 200,000", and about 132 thousand contracts were traded.
- [4]80%Unemployment in November 2024? - Kalshikalshi.com· Added Oct 2, 2026· 25% of score
Kalshi's[3] KXU3 market for November 2024 settled on the BLS[1][2] rate, with its highest Yes threshold at "Above 4.1%" and about 230 thousand contracts traded.
- [5]75%How many jobs added in November? - Polymarketpolymarket.com· Added Oct 2, 2026· 25% of score
Polymarket's event for the November 2024 jobs added resolved to 200-250k, matching the BLS[1][2] print, with about $99 thousand traded.
Suggest a correction
Something missing or wrong? Say it in your own words: a link that backs this pin up, a different start or end date and why, or a fact it lacks or gets wrong. The AI checks it against this pin's sources, searches for better ones, and adds any page that backs you up. The pin's own sources still count most. A picture that shows something else, or shows it badly, is looked at too, and moved down or replaced.