- Start
- May 8, 202690% CONFIDENCEfrom the source
- End
- May 8, 202690% CONFIDENCEfrom the source
April 2026 Jobs Report: Payrolls Rise 115,000 With Unemployment Steady at 4.3%
- Total nonfarm employment rose by 115,000 in April, with the private sector adding 123,000[1]
- The unemployment rate was 4.3%, with 7.373 million people unemployed, up 134,000 from March[1]
- Average hourly earnings rose 6 cents, or 0.2%, to $37.41, up 3.6% on the year[1]
- February was revised down 23,000 to a loss of 156,000 and March up 7,000 to +185,000, a net loss of 16,000[1]
- Health care added 37,000 jobs, transportation and warehousing 30,000 and retail trade 22,000, while information lost 13,000 and federal government 9,000[1]
- Federal employment was down 348,000, or 11.5%, since its October 2024 peak[1]
- Kalshi's payrolls ladder for April resolved Yes up to "Above 100,000", with about 460 thousand contracts traded across its thresholds[3]
- Kalshi's unemployment ladder for April resolved Yes up to "Above 4.2%", with about 254 thousand contracts traded[4]
- Polymarket's April payrolls market resolved to the 100k – 150k bracket, with about $28 thousand traded[5]
- Polymarket's April unemployment rate market resolved to the 4.3% bracket, with about $90 thousand traded[6]
References 682% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 82%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 6 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
The first entry is always the pin's source. Overall confidence is a weighted average of how firmly each reference supports the start and end times used above; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newest.
- [1]95%Employment Situation News Release - April 2026 - Bureau of Labor Statisticsbls.gov· Published May 8, 2026· Starts May 8, 2026 ✓· Ends May 8, 2026 ✓· 10% of score
BLS's[2] archived release is dated 8 May 2026 and marked for release at 8:30 a.m. ET, matching its Employment Situation calendar.
- [2]90%Schedule of Releases for the Employment Situation - Bureau of Labor Statisticsbls.gov· Added Oct 2, 2026· 18% of score
BLS's[1] release calendar for the Employment Situation, which lists the April 2026 report on 8 May 2026.
- [3]80%Jobs numbers in April 2026? - Kalshikalshi.com· Added Oct 2, 2026· 18% of score
Kalshi's[4] KXPAYROLLS market for April 2026 settled on the BLS[1][2] print, with its highest Yes threshold at "Above 100,000", and about 460 thousand contracts were traded.
- [4]80%Unemployment in April 2026? - Kalshikalshi.com· Added Oct 2, 2026· 18% of score
Kalshi's[3] KXU3 market for April 2026 settled on the BLS[1][2] rate, with its highest Yes threshold at "Above 4.2%" and about 254 thousand contracts traded.
- [5]75%How many jobs added in April? - Polymarketpolymarket.com· Added Oct 2, 2026· 18% of score
Polymarket's[6] event for the April 2026 jobs added resolved to 100k – 150k, matching the BLS[1][2] print, with about $28 thousand traded.
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