- Start
- Jun 5, 202690% CONFIDENCEfrom the source
- End
- Jun 5, 202690% CONFIDENCEfrom the source
May 2026 Jobs Report: Payrolls Rise 172,000 and April Is Revised Up to 179,000
- Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 172,000 in May[1]
- The unemployment rate was 4.3%, with 7.3 million people unemployed, down 66,000 from April; it had stayed between 4.3% and 4.5% since July 2025[1]
- Average hourly earnings rose 12 cents, or 0.3%, to $37.53, up 3.4% on the year[1]
- March was revised up 29,000 to +214,000 and April up 64,000 to +179,000, a combined gain of 93,000[1]
- Leisure and hospitality added 70,000 jobs, local government 55,000 and health care 35,000, while financial activities lost 22,000[1]
- The long-term unemployed, out of work 27 weeks or more, were up 524,000 over the year to 2.0 million[1]
- Kalshi's payrolls ladder for May resolved Yes up to "Above 150,000", with about 735 thousand contracts traded across its thresholds[3]
- Kalshi's unemployment ladder for May resolved Yes up to "Above 4.2%", with about 236 thousand contracts traded[4]
- Polymarket's May payrolls market resolved to the 150k – 200k bracket, with about $13 thousand traded[5]
- Polymarket's May unemployment rate market resolved to the 4.3% bracket, with about $23 thousand traded[6]
References 682% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 82%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 6 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
The first entry is always the pin's source. Overall confidence is a weighted average of how firmly each reference supports the start and end times used above; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newest.
- [1]95%Employment Situation News Release - May 2026 - Bureau of Labor Statisticsbls.gov· Published Jun 5, 2026· Starts Jun 5, 2026 ✓· Ends Jun 5, 2026 ✓· 11% of score
BLS's[2] archived release is dated 5 June 2026 and marked for release at 8:30 a.m. ET, matching its Employment Situation calendar.
- [2]90%Schedule of Releases for the Employment Situation - Bureau of Labor Statisticsbls.gov· Added Oct 2, 2026· 18% of score
BLS's[1] release calendar for the Employment Situation, which lists the May 2026 report on 5 June 2026.
- [3]80%Jobs numbers in May 2026? - Kalshikalshi.com· Added Oct 2, 2026· 18% of score
Kalshi's[4] KXPAYROLLS market for May 2026 settled on the BLS[1][2] print, with its highest Yes threshold at "Above 150,000", and about 735 thousand contracts were traded.
- [4]80%Unemployment in May 2026? - Kalshikalshi.com· Added Oct 2, 2026· 18% of score
Kalshi's[3] KXU3 market for May 2026 settled on the BLS[1][2] rate, with its highest Yes threshold at "Above 4.2%" and about 236 thousand contracts traded.
- [5]75%How many jobs added in May? - Polymarketpolymarket.com· Added Oct 2, 2026· 18% of score
Polymarket's[6] event for the May 2026 jobs added resolved to 150k – 200k, matching the BLS[1][2] print, with about $13 thousand traded.
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